अApnaFunda

ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS)

Consumer Services · Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.83 / 100
Profitability 67Balance sheet 100
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.48 / 100
Price 76Earnings 67FII/DII 1

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹176.9 latest close · −1.0% over the last 90 sessions

₹160₹180Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹160₹180Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹176.9 month-end · −15.2% over 12 months

₹150₹175₹200Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹150₹175₹200Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹176.9 month-end · +8.6% since Jan '25

₹150₹200Jan '25May '25Oct '25Feb '26Jul '26Nov '26 ₹150₹200Jan '25Dec '25Nov '26

52-week range ₹137.30 to ₹217.51 · 1-year volatility 30.9%

Was the rally earned?

-15%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 29 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 68.4x to 42.5x), which took 44 points back.
  • The share count fell 7%.
Net profit growth: +22 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+22 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: −44 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−44 ptsP/E changeShare count change: +7 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.+7 ptsShare count changeShare price: −15%−15%Share priceNet profit growth: +22 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+22ProfitP/E change: −44 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−44P/EShare count change: +7 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.+7SharesShare price: −15%−15%Share price
Net profit growth+22 ptsNet profit rose about 27%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-44 ptsThe P/E fell from 68.4x to 42.5x, which lowers the price.
Share count change+7 ptsShare count fell 7%, which lifts the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with INDIAN HOTELS CO

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-45.9%not yet recovered
1-year volatility30.9%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.983-year daily, correlation 0.59
Volume spikes2last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Drawdown from peak

0%−20%−40%2026−44.3% 0%−20%−40%2026−44.3%
Largest drawdowns

-45.9% (2025-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-27: 14.8x the 50-day median, price +1.2% that day

2026-10-26: 15x the 50-day median, price +5.2% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Consumer Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE57thflat vs a year ago
  • Op. margin76th▼ 4 pts vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth75th
  • EPS growth82nd
  • Debt/equity ↓89thflat vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓53rd▼ 3 pts vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓24th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum61st

Rank history

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Services sector page Watch it move against Consumer Services in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~24%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 42.5x, the price would imply about 24.3%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Services The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹176.90
P/E
42.5x
ROCE
11.0%
Market Cap
₹36889 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹4260 cr
P/S
8.7x
P/B
3.2x
ROE
7.4%
Operating Margin
31.0%
Debt / Equity
0.0x
Promoter Holding
39.9%
12M Momentum
-15.2%

52-week range

₹137.30₹217.51
49% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
30.9%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
1.05

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
100.0x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
1.37x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

5 of 5checks within rangeAll clear
Other income reliance12%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 11.6%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate28%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 27.5%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion1.37xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.37x (cash from operations ₹2,583 cr, net profit ₹1,883 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow3 of 3 yrsWithin range

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 3: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress3% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 3% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Since Mar 2025, FIIs trimmed 13.8 pts; DIIs added 2.4 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 25.7 lakh to 22.9 lakh (-11%) between Mar 2025 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupMar '25Jun '26Change
Promoters39.9%39.9%0.0 pts
FIIs25.4%11.6%-13.8 pts
DIIs21.6%24.0%+2.4 pts
Public and others13.1%24.5%+11.4 pts

Number of shareholders

22.9 lakhshareholders-11% since Mar '25
22.9L23.8L24.8L25.7L Mar '25Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26
Mar '25: 25.7 lakh
Jun '25: 24.9 lakh
Sep '25: 24.2 lakh
Dec '25: 23.7 lakh
Mar '26: 23.3 lakh
Jun '26: 22.9 lakh
22.9L23.8L24.8L25.7L Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Mar '25: 25.7 lakh
Jun '25: 24.9 lakh
Sep '25: 24.2 lakh
Dec '25: 23.7 lakh
Mar '26: 23.3 lakh
Jun '26: 22.9 lakh

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−7.1%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like ITC HOTELS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −26% to +20% vs the market, against −3% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−4.3%, 80% range −9.3% to 0%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−60%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+60%+80%
SYNGENE · Jul 2025: −48.7% vs market
NATCOPHARM · Jun 2021: −42.5% vs market
EMUDHRA · Jun 2025: −42.0% vs market
VOLTAS · Dec 2021: −36.7% vs market
SUMICHEM · Oct 2025: −33.7% vs market
INDIAMART · Aug 2023: −33.5% vs market
ATUL · Jul 2022: −33.3% vs market
WONDERLA · Feb 2020: −33.1% vs market
VINATIORGA · May 2025: −31.0% vs market
LATENTVIEW · Apr 2025: −30.3% vs market
ADVENZYMES · Sep 2024: −29.8% vs market
HONAUT · May 2024: −28.7% vs market
VESUVIUS · Jun 2020: −26.5% vs market
NAVINFLUOR · Dec 2022: −25.4% vs market
MOIL · Mar 2022: −18.8% vs market
KANSAINER · Aug 2020: −18.6% vs market
EICHERMOT · Feb 2023: −18.3% vs market
NOCIL · May 2022: −17.6% vs market
ZFCVINDIA · Mar 2024: −17.4% vs market
ESCORTS · Nov 2023: −12.8% vs market
GPPL · Mar 2020: −10.4% vs market
3MINDIA · Apr 2023: −8.6% vs market
KIOCL · Jan 2020: −8.4% vs market
SAREGAMA · Jul 2024: −7.4% vs market
NAUKRI · Sep 2025: −7.4% vs market
ENDURANCE · Jun 2022: −6.8% vs market
ICRA · Oct 2023: −5.4% vs market
UBL · Aug 2024: −2.1% vs market
PIIND · Sep 2022: −0.8% vs market
CONCOR · Mar 2020: +0.3% vs market
BALKRISIND · Mar 2021: +2.4% vs market
GRINDWELL · Dec 2022: +2.8% vs market
BOSCHLTD · Sep 2022: +3.6% vs market
SHANTIGEAR · Mar 2020: +7.9% vs market
MANKIND · May 2024: +9.7% vs market
ABB · Mar 2025: +10.1% vs market
SCHAEFFLER · Apr 2025: +11.3% vs market
CARBORUNIV · Feb 2022: +22.9% vs market
JBCHEPHARM · Jun 2022: +25.2% vs market
AJANTPHARM · Aug 2023: +27.5% vs market
AIAENG · Aug 2022: +29.5% vs market
CUMMINSIND · Aug 2022: +30.8% vs market
TATAINVEST · Mar 2022: +34.7% vs market
ZYDUSWELL · Jul 2025: +35.1% vs market
GLAND · Jun 2025: +35.8% vs market
SIEMENS · Sep 2023: +36.0% vs market
BSE · Sep 2020: +38.4% vs market
DIVISLAB · Jul 2024: +42.3% vs market
LINDEINDIA · Nov 2022: +64.6% vs market
MCX · Jun 2023: +78.6% vs market
Similar setups −7.1%All companies −2.8%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months

Similar setups' median
−7.1%
All companies' median
−2.8%
Beat the market
42% vs 47%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 37 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
VINATIORGA
Process Industries
May 2025 49x19% +6%−20% −31%
LINDEINDIA
Process Industries
Nov 2022 51x17% +22%−23% +65%
ESCORTS
Producer Manufacturing
Nov 2023 65x11% +38%−8% −13%
ATUL
Process Industries
Jul 2022 44x19% −2%−18% −33%
SAREGAMA
Consumer Services
Jul 2024 54x18% +40%−2% −7%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
MCX
Finance
Jun 2023 51x13% +15%−10% +79%
LATENTVIEW
Commercial Services
Apr 2025 49x15% −21%−30% −30%
BOSCHLTD
Producer Manufacturing
Sep 2022 38x15% +2%−16% +4%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and P/E. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to ITC HOTELS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

Technology Services
70%similar
debt/equityvolatility
Health Technology
67%similar
market capoperating margin
Producer Manufacturing
64%similar
market caprevenue
Health Technology
58%similar
market capvolatility
Technology Services
54%similar
debt/equitymarket cap
EIHEIHOTEL
Consumer Services
47%similar
volatilitypromoter holding
Consumer Services
45%similar
promoter holdingoperating margin
Consumer Services
17%similar
operating marginP/E

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What changed?

10 events since Mar '25

  1. OctPriceVolume reached 15.0x its 50-day median on 2026-10-26; price +5.2% that day.
  2. JunDividendStarted paying a dividend (payout 26% of profit).
  3. AprPriceVolume reached 10.0x its 50-day median on 2026-04-08; price +3.5% that day.
  4. MarInstitutionsFII + DII holding fell 8.7 pts over 2 quarters to 37.2%.
  5. MarPriceFell 46% from the Jul 2025 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  6. MarPriceVolume reached 7.6x its 50-day median on 2026-03-04; price -5.0% that day.
  7. JanSharesShare count is up 150.6% over 12 months.
  8. DecPriceVolume reached 5.4x its 50-day median on 2025-12-05; price -0.9% that day.
Show 2 earlier events
  1. JulPriceVolume reached 5.3x its 50-day median on 2025-07-16; price +4.5% that day.
  2. MarPriceVolume reached 7.5x its 50-day median on 2025-03-21; price +8.5% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history23 months · 2025-01 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1142.5x₹4260 cr7.4%11.0%0.0x
2026-1040.2x₹4260 cr7.5%11.0%0.0x
2026-0939.5x₹4260 cr7.5%11.0%0.0x
2026-0840.7x₹4140 cr7.0%11.0%0.0x
2026-0741.3x₹4140 cr7.0%11.0%0.0x
2026-0645.8x₹4140 cr7.0%11.0%0.0x
2026-0542.5x₹3947 cr7.1%10.0%0.0x
2026-0444.1x₹3947 cr7.1%10.0%0.0x
2026-0337.9x₹3947 cr7.1%10.0%0.0x
2026-0257.7x₹3731 cr6.9%10.0%0.0x
2026-0159.3x₹3731 cr6.9%10.0%0.0x
2025-1264.7x₹3731 cr6.9%10.0%0.0x
2025-1168.4x₹3670 cr6.4%10.0%0.0x
2025-1071.1x₹3670 cr6.4%10.0%0.0x
2025-0974.5x₹3670 cr6.4%10.0%0.0x
2025-0878.2x₹3560 cr6.0%10.0%0.0x
2025-0775.6x₹3560 cr6.0%10.0%0.0x
2025-0672.9x₹3560 cr6.0%10.0%0.0x
2025-05—₹2224 cr5.0%—0.0x
2025-04—₹2224 cr5.0%—0.0x
2025-03—₹2224 cr5.0%—0.0x
2025-02—₹2224 cr5.0%—0.0x
2025-01—₹2224 cr5.0%—0.0x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

Feedback