52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Was the rally earned?
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 6 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 39.2x to 34.0x), which took 13 points back.
- The share count rose 4%.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 41.8x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 24.1%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 25.8% | 26.9% | 28.0% |
| 15x | 23.0% | 24.1% | 25.2% |
| 20x | 19.5% | 20.6% | 21.6% |
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Non-Energy Minerals The market-wide Expectations lists
What changed?
- Oct '26Share count is up 5.9% over 12 months.
- Oct '26Volume reached 12.0x its 50-day median on 2026-10-07; price +6.1% that day.
- Sep '26Fell 51% from the Jan 2026 peak to the Sep 2026 low.
- Aug '26Volume reached 7.1x its 50-day median on 2026-08-12; price -5.3% that day.
- Jun '26Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the top quartile).
- May '26Volume reached 5.1x its 50-day median on 2026-05-07; price +4.8% that day.
- Dec '25Volume reached 12.1x its 50-day median on 2025-12-04; price +4.0% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Are profits backed by cash?
4 of 5 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.
Other income reliance10%Within range
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 10.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate26%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion1.15xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.15x (cash from operations ₹390 cr, net profit ₹339 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history—Not enough data
Not enough reported data to compute this.
Capital work in progress50% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 50% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days—Not enough data
Not enough reported data to compute this.
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
How rough has the ride been?
Monthly share price
Last 90 trading days
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-51.4% (2026-01 peak to 2026-09 low, not yet recovered)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-10-28: 5.4x the 50-day median, price +8.8% that day
2026-10-21: 6.6x the 50-day median, price +0.7% that day
2026-10-07: 12x the 50-day median, price +6.1% that day
Where does it rank among Non-Energy Minerals peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Non-Energy Minerals peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Non-Energy Minerals sector page Watch it move against Non-Energy Minerals in the Observatory
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
| Company | Sector | Similarity | Closest on |
|---|---|---|---|
| ELLENBARRIE INDUSTRIAL GASES L (ELLEN) | Process Industries | 74% | promoter holding, debt/equity |
| BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURES (BRIGHOTEL) | Consumer Services | 64% | revenue, P/E |
| ORIENTAL HOTELS (ORIENTHOT) | Consumer Services | 56% | debt/equity, operating margin |
| AGI INFRA (AGIIL) | Finance | 55% | market cap, P/E |
| RISHABH INSTRUMENTS (RISHABH) | Producer Manufacturing | 55% | revenue, P/E |
| MISHRA DHATU NIGAM (MIDHANI) | Non-Energy Minerals | 40% | debt/equity, promoter holding |
| PREMIER POLYFILM (PREMIERPOL) | Non-Energy Minerals | 28% | P/E, debt/equity |
| KALYANI STEELS (KSL) | Non-Energy Minerals | 25% | market cap, debt/equity |
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like MIDWEST LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −29% to +30% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (−5.7%, 80% range −13.1% to +6.3%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 1 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 39 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIDHANI Non-Energy Minerals |
Nov 2023 | 45x | 15% | +52% | −18% | −29% |
| RESPONIND Non-Energy Minerals |
Jul 2024 | 48x | 15% | +44% | −19% | −19% |
| ADFFOODS Consumer Non-Durables |
Sep 2023 | 41x | 17% | +43% | −18% | −13% |
| RADICO Consumer Non-Durables |
May 2022 | 39x | 18% | +32% | −37% | +33% |
| SYMPHONY Producer Manufacturing |
Nov 2024 | 44x | 19% | +56% | −27% | −38% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTRAMICRO Electronic Technology |
Dec 2024 | 56x | 19% | +27% | −25% | +21% |
| THEJO Distribution Services |
Dec 2023 | 61x | 21% | +63% | −17% | −7% |
| 5PAISA Finance |
Mar 2024 | 53x | 12% | +79% | −31% | −32% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/E and interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
Monthly history (13 months)
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 34.0x | ₹696 cr | 11.7% | 16.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-09 | 28.6x | ₹696 cr | 11.7% | 16.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-08 | 36.6x | ₹646 cr | 11.0% | 16.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-07 | 39.8x | ₹646 cr | 11.0% | 16.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-06 | 41.8x | ₹646 cr | 11.0% | 16.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-05 | 34.9x | ₹660 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-04 | 36.4x | ₹660 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-03 | 33.7x | ₹660 cr | 18.9% | 22.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-02 | 38.9x | ₹648 cr | 18.6% | 22.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-01 | 39.8x | ₹648 cr | 18.6% | 22.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-12 | 51.8x | ₹648 cr | 18.6% | 22.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-11 | 47.9x | ₹630 cr | 16.5% | 22.0% | 0.4x |
| 2025-10 | 39.2x | ₹630 cr | 16.5% | 22.0% | 0.4x |