अApnaFunda

MIDWEST LTD (MIDWESTLTD)

Non-Energy Minerals

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.79 / 100
Profitability 83Balance sheet 75
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.34 / 100
Price 41Earnings 27

Passes these screens: Debt-light & profitable

Share Price
₹1063.35
P/E
34.0x
ROCE
16.0%
Market Cap
₹3846 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹696 cr
P/S
5.5x
P/B
4.0x
ROE
11.7%
Operating Margin
25.0%
Debt / Equity
0.2x
Promoter Holding
77.1%
12M Momentum
-7.6%

52-week range

₹860.00₹1859.90
20% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
52.3%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.85

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
11.2x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
1.15x
Share count, 1Y
+5.9%

Was the rally earned?

-8%share price, 1 yearLower P/E held it back

Earnings helped, the multiple did not.

  • Per-share earnings added 6 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 39.2x to 34.0x), which took 13 points back.
  • The share count rose 4%.
1 year Net profit growth: +10 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+10 ptsP/E change: -14 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-14 ptsShare count change: -4 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.-4 pts -8% 1 year Net profit growth: +10 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+10 ptsP/E change: -14 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.-14 ptsShare count change: -4 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price. -8%
Net profit growth+10 ptsNet profit rose about 11%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-13 ptsThe P/E fell from 39.2x to 34.0x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-4 ptsShare count rose 4%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with GATEWAY DISTRIPARKS

What is the price implying?

~24%annual earnings growth implied by the priceIn line with delivered growth

At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 41.8x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 24.1%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.

Delivered24.3%/yrEPS, last 6 fiscal years · 3-yr avg to 3-yr avg
Gap−0.2 ptsimplied minus delivered
Rank509thmost demanding of 843

Over time

Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).

0%16%31% Oct 2025Oct 2026 0%16%31% Oct 2025Oct 2026

Change the assumptions

Exit P/E / return11%12%13%
12x25.8%26.9%28.0%
15x23.0%24.1%25.2%
20x19.5%20.6%21.6%
Implied: 24.1%/yr

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.

What prices imply across Non-Energy Minerals The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Oct '26Share count is up 5.9% over 12 months.
  2. Oct '26Volume reached 12.0x its 50-day median on 2026-10-07; price +6.1% that day.
  3. Sep '26Fell 51% from the Jan 2026 peak to the Sep 2026 low.
  4. Aug '26Volume reached 7.1x its 50-day median on 2026-08-12; price -5.3% that day.
  5. Jun '26Slipped to the 2nd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  6. May '26Volume reached 5.1x its 50-day median on 2026-05-07; price +4.8% that day.
  7. Dec '25Volume reached 12.1x its 50-day median on 2025-12-04; price +4.0% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

4 of 5 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance10%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 10.5%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate26%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion1.15xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.15x (cash from operations ₹390 cr, net profit ₹339 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress50% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 50% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-51.4%not yet recovered
1-year volatility52.3%annualised
Volume spikes9last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹895₹1,170₹1,445₹1,721 Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26Oct '26
2025-10: ₹1151.20
2025-11: ₹1407.90
2025-12: ₹1720.60
2026-01: ₹1321.70
2026-02: ₹1292.50
2026-03: ₹1147.50
2026-04: ₹1241.20
2026-05: ₹1190.30
2026-06: ₹1251.40
2026-07: ₹1194.10
2026-08: ₹1096.80
2026-09: ₹895.00
2026-10: ₹1063.35
₹895₹1,170₹1,445₹1,721 Oct '25Feb '26Jun '26Oct '26
2025-10: ₹1151.20
2025-11: ₹1407.90
2025-12: ₹1720.60
2026-01: ₹1321.70
2026-02: ₹1292.50
2026-03: ₹1147.50
2026-04: ₹1241.20
2026-05: ₹1190.30
2026-06: ₹1251.40
2026-07: ₹1194.10
2026-08: ₹1096.80
2026-09: ₹895.00
2026-10: ₹1063.35

Last 90 trading days

₹877₹1,039₹1,201₹1,363 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹1289.50
2026-06-25: ₹1289.80
2026-06-30: ₹1251.40
2026-07-02: ₹1326.40
2026-07-06: ₹1363.10
2026-07-08: ₹1294.80
2026-07-10: ₹1332.30
2026-07-14: ₹1302.80
2026-07-16: ₹1300.20
2026-07-20: ₹1271.30
2026-07-22: ₹1256.20
2026-07-24: ₹1234.20
2026-07-28: ₹1206.60
2026-07-30: ₹1202.60
2026-08-03: ₹1214.90
2026-08-05: ₹1204.70
2026-08-07: ₹1197.00
2026-08-11: ₹1174.10
2026-08-13: ₹1128.60
2026-08-17: ₹1110.00
2026-08-19: ₹1150.00
2026-08-21: ₹1141.00
2026-08-25: ₹1149.00
2026-08-27: ₹1114.40
2026-08-31: ₹1096.80
2026-09-02: ₹1036.90
2026-09-04: ₹1062.10
2026-09-08: ₹1078.40
2026-09-10: ₹1065.50
2026-09-15: ₹974.30
2026-09-17: ₹976.20
2026-09-21: ₹988.30
2026-09-23: ₹993.40
2026-09-25: ₹929.50
2026-09-29: ₹877.00
2026-10-01: ₹904.15
2026-10-06: ₹1006.20
2026-10-08: ₹989.80
2026-10-12: ₹1012.75
2026-10-14: ₹1000.15
2026-10-16: ₹1026.70
2026-10-21: ₹1137.20
2026-10-23: ₹1085.85
2026-10-27: ₹1039.65
2026-10-29: ₹1104.75
2026-10-30: ₹1063.35
₹877₹1,039₹1,201₹1,363 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹1289.50
2026-06-25: ₹1289.80
2026-06-30: ₹1251.40
2026-07-02: ₹1326.40
2026-07-06: ₹1363.10
2026-07-08: ₹1294.80
2026-07-10: ₹1332.30
2026-07-14: ₹1302.80
2026-07-16: ₹1300.20
2026-07-20: ₹1271.30
2026-07-22: ₹1256.20
2026-07-24: ₹1234.20
2026-07-28: ₹1206.60
2026-07-30: ₹1202.60
2026-08-03: ₹1214.90
2026-08-05: ₹1204.70
2026-08-07: ₹1197.00
2026-08-11: ₹1174.10
2026-08-13: ₹1128.60
2026-08-17: ₹1110.00
2026-08-19: ₹1150.00
2026-08-21: ₹1141.00
2026-08-25: ₹1149.00
2026-08-27: ₹1114.40
2026-08-31: ₹1096.80
2026-09-02: ₹1036.90
2026-09-04: ₹1062.10
2026-09-08: ₹1078.40
2026-09-10: ₹1065.50
2026-09-15: ₹974.30
2026-09-17: ₹976.20
2026-09-21: ₹988.30
2026-09-23: ₹993.40
2026-09-25: ₹929.50
2026-09-29: ₹877.00
2026-10-01: ₹904.15
2026-10-06: ₹1006.20
2026-10-08: ₹989.80
2026-10-12: ₹1012.75
2026-10-14: ₹1000.15
2026-10-16: ₹1026.70
2026-10-21: ₹1137.20
2026-10-23: ₹1085.85
2026-10-27: ₹1039.65
2026-10-29: ₹1104.75
2026-10-30: ₹1063.35

Drawdown from peak

0% -25% -50% Oct '25Apr '26Oct '26 0% -25% -50% Oct '25Apr '26Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-51.4% (2026-01 peak to 2026-09 low, not yet recovered)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-28: 5.4x the 50-day median, price +8.8% that day

2026-10-21: 6.6x the 50-day median, price +0.7% that day

2026-10-07: 12x the 50-day median, price +6.1% that day

Where does it rank among Non-Energy Minerals peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Non-Energy Minerals peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Non-Energy Minerals sector page Watch it move against Non-Energy Minerals in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
ELLENBARRIE INDUSTRIAL GASES L (ELLEN)Process Industries74%promoter holding, debt/equity
BRIGADE HOTEL VENTURES (BRIGHOTEL)Consumer Services64%revenue, P/E
ORIENTAL HOTELS (ORIENTHOT)Consumer Services56%debt/equity, operating margin
AGI INFRA (AGIIL)Finance55%market cap, P/E
RISHABH INSTRUMENTS (RISHABH)Producer Manufacturing55%revenue, P/E
MISHRA DHATU NIGAM (MIDHANI)Non-Energy Minerals40%debt/equity, promoter holding
PREMIER POLYFILM (PREMIERPOL)Non-Energy Minerals28%P/E, debt/equity
KALYANI STEELS (KSL)Non-Energy Minerals25%market cap, debt/equity

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−10.1%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like MIDWEST LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −29% to +30% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−5.7%, 80% range −13.1% to +6.3%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
ZENSARTECH · Sep 2021: −55.8% vs market
ASTEC · Dec 2022: −50.8% vs market
SULA · Feb 2024: −49.7% vs market
TAJGVK · Aug 2020: −46.5% vs market
NATHBIOGEN · Mar 2021: −42.4% vs market
XCHANGING · Jan 2025: −39.5% vs market
EPL · Dec 2020: −39.0% vs market
SYMPHONY · Nov 2024: −38.3% vs market
MATRIMONY · Aug 2021: −34.8% vs market
5PAISA · Mar 2024: −32.1% vs market
BOROLTD · Jun 2025: −31.7% vs market
PARKHOTELS · Oct 2025: −29.2% vs market
SFL · Oct 2022: −29.2% vs market
MIDHANI · Nov 2023: −28.6% vs market
MOTISONS · Feb 2025: −25.2% vs market
SEAMECLTD · Jul 2022: −24.9% vs market
SHALBY · Mar 2024: −20.5% vs market
RESPONIND · Jul 2024: −18.8% vs market
JYOTHYLAB · May 2024: −18.1% vs market
SIGACHI · Dec 2023: −17.4% vs market
ROTO · Sep 2025: −16.6% vs market
ASAHIINDIA · Apr 2023: −14.8% vs market
JTEKTINDIA · Feb 2020: −14.3% vs market
PIXTRANS · Aug 2023: −14.1% vs market
ADFFOODS · Sep 2023: −13.0% vs market
GREENLAM · Dec 2023: −7.3% vs market
THEJO · Dec 2023: −7.1% vs market
SILVERTUC · Oct 2023: −6.2% vs market
GEOJITFSL · Mar 2021: +0.7% vs market
CERA · Oct 2021: +3.8% vs market
TEGA · Jun 2025: +8.8% vs market
JUSTDIAL · Feb 2020: +12.6% vs market
SUPRAJIT · May 2021: +17.4% vs market
ASTRAMICRO · Dec 2024: +21.1% vs market
MTARTECH · Jun 2022: +25.6% vs market
BECTORFOOD · Feb 2024: +29.5% vs market
CENTURYPLY · Jan 2020: +30.0% vs market
HSCL · Apr 2025: +30.1% vs market
HINDCOPPER · Sep 2022: +30.8% vs market
MEDANTA · Aug 2024: +31.3% vs market
RADICO · May 2022: +33.1% vs market
INNOVACAP · Oct 2025: +34.1% vs market
DOLLAR · May 2021: +39.0% vs market
ARTEMISMED · Sep 2025: +47.0% vs market
VIJAYA · May 2023: +47.7% vs market
POLYMED · Jan 2024: +47.8% vs market
THYROCARE · Mar 2025: +58.5% vs market
ELGIEQUIP · Mar 2022: +65.1% vs market
NEULANDLAB · May 2024: +81.0% vs market
KPITTECH · Apr 2020: +121.6% vs market
Similar setups −10.1%All companies −4.4%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 1 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−10.1%
All companies' median
−4.4%
Beat the market
44% vs 45%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 39 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
MIDHANI
Non-Energy Minerals
Nov 2023 45x15% +52%−18% −29%
RESPONIND
Non-Energy Minerals
Jul 2024 48x15% +44%−19% −19%
ADFFOODS
Consumer Non-Durables
Sep 2023 41x17% +43%−18% −13%
RADICO
Consumer Non-Durables
May 2022 39x18% +32%−37% +33%
SYMPHONY
Producer Manufacturing
Nov 2024 44x19% +56%−27% −38%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ASTRAMICRO
Electronic Technology
Dec 2024 56x19% +27%−25% +21%
THEJO
Distribution Services
Dec 2023 61x21% +63%−17% −7%
5PAISA
Finance
Mar 2024 53x12% +79%−31% −32%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/E and interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to MIDWEST LTD. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (13 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1034.0x₹696 cr11.7%16.0%0.2x
2026-0928.6x₹696 cr11.7%16.0%0.2x
2026-0836.6x₹646 cr11.0%16.0%0.2x
2026-0739.8x₹646 cr11.0%16.0%0.2x
2026-0641.8x₹646 cr11.0%16.0%0.2x
2026-0534.9x₹660 cr18.9%22.0%0.4x
2026-0436.4x₹660 cr18.9%22.0%0.4x
2026-0333.7x₹660 cr18.9%22.0%0.4x
2026-0238.9x₹648 cr18.6%22.0%0.4x
2026-0139.8x₹648 cr18.6%22.0%0.4x
2025-1251.8x₹648 cr18.6%22.0%0.4x
2025-1147.9x₹630 cr16.5%22.0%0.4x
2025-1039.2x₹630 cr16.5%22.0%0.4x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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