अApnaFunda

P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LIMITED (PNGJL)

Retail Trade · Specialty Stores · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.46 / 100
Profitability 62Balance sheet 31
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.54 / 100
Price 55Earnings 77FII/DII 28

Passes these screensBusiness ahead of priceLittle growth priced in

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹612 latest close · +7.5% over the last 90 sessions

₹550₹600₹650₹700Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹550₹600₹650₹700Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹612 month-end · −2.8% over 12 months

₹550₹600₹650Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹550₹600₹650Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹612 month-end · −18.3% since Sep '24

₹500₹600₹700Sep '24Feb '25Jul '25Jan '26Jun '26Nov '26 ₹500₹600₹700Sep '24Oct '25Nov '26

52-week range ₹503.00 to ₹736.40 · 1-year volatility 34.4%

Was the rally earned?

-3%share price, 1 yearRoughly flat
  • The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (-3%).
  • The share count rose 2%.
Net profit growth: +58 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+58 ptsNet profit growthP/E change: −59 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−59 ptsP/E changeShare count change: −2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.−2 ptsShare count changeShare price: −3%−3%Share priceNet profit growth: +58 pts. Points of the price return explained by net profit growing (or shrinking).+58ProfitP/E change: −59 pts. Points of the price return explained by the market paying a higher or lower P/E multiple.−59P/EShare count change: −2 pts. Points of the price return explained by the share count changing. More shares count against the price.−2SharesShare price: −3%−3%Share price
Net profit growth+58 ptsNet profit rose about 80%, which lifts the price.
P/E change-59 ptsThe P/E fell from 33.9x to 18.6x, which lowers the price.
Share count change-2 ptsShare count rose 2%, which lowers the price.
What do "pts" mean?

"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.

Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.

Not shown for 3 years and 5 years: earnings were negative at one end, or there is not enough history.

Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.

Compare this with AVENUE SUPERMARTS LTD DMART

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-38.9%not yet recovered
1-year volatility34.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index0.743-year daily, correlation 0.39
Volume spikes7last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Drawdown from peak

0%−20%−40%20252026−38.1% 0%−20%−40%20252026−38.1%
Largest drawdowns

-38.9% (2024-09 peak to 2025-03 low, not yet recovered)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-10-09: 5.9x the 50-day median, price +2.3% that day

2026-08-06: 6.2x the 50-day median, price -3.6% that day

2026-07-29: 6.3x the 50-day median, price -1.4% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?

18.6xP/E todayNear its historic low
Against its own history15th percentile
CheapestMedian 27.8xDearest

Usual range 18.4x to 34.8x since 2024-09.

Against Retail Trade18.6x vs 22.4x
This company
18.6x
Sector median
22.4x

17% below the Retail Trade median.

17.0x32.8x48.5x64.3xSep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Sep '26Nov '2617.0x32.8x48.5x64.3xSep '24Jun '25Mar '26Nov '26
P/E (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianRetail Trade median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/B (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianRetail Trade median

The chart loads when you open this tab.

P/S (this company)10th to 90th percentile of its own historyIts medianRetail Trade median
How to read this

Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).

Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.

All terms explained in the glossary →

How Retail Trade is valued

Where does it rank among Retail Trade peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Retail Trade peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE77th▼ 4 pts vs a year ago
  • Op. margin47th▲ 19 pts vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth90th▲ 14 pts vs a year ago
  • EPS growth79th▲ 55 pts vs a year ago
  • Debt/equity ↓26th▼ 18 pts vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓91stflat vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓64th▲ 7 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum66th▼ 11 pts vs a year ago

Rank history

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Retail Trade sector page Watch it move against Retail Trade in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~25%annual earnings growth implied by the priceBelow delivered growth

At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 43.8x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 24.7%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.

Delivered39.9%/yrEPS, last 7 fiscal years · 3-yr avg to 3-yr avg
Gap−15.3 ptsimplied minus delivered
Rank752ndmost demanding of 856

Over time

Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).

0%20%40% Sep 2024Nov 2026 0%20%40% Sep 2024Nov 2026

Change the assumptions

Exit P/E / return11%12%13%
12x26.3%27.5%28.6%
15x23.6%24.7%25.8%
20x20.0%21.1%22.2%

Drag a slider to test other assumptions

Implied: 24.7%/yr

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.

What prices imply across Retail Trade The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹612.00
P/E
18.6x
ROCE
21.0%
Market Cap
₹9002 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹11438 cr
P/S
0.8x
P/B
4.6x
ROE
24.6%
Operating Margin
8.0%
Debt / Equity
0.9x
Promoter Holding
83.1%
12M Momentum
-2.8%

52-week range

₹503.00₹736.40
47% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
34.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.82

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
6.6x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
-1.77x
low
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 6checks within range1 beyond a threshold
Other income reliance17%Near threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 16.8%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate25%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 25.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion-1.77xBeyond threshold

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: -1.77x (cash from operations ₹-1,386 cr, net profit ₹783 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history0 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 0 days (2 vs 2). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress0% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 0% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, FIIs trimmed 3.3 pts; DIIs trimmed 1.0 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 1.7 lakh to 1.5 lakh (-9%) between Sep 2024 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupSep '24Jun '26Change
Promoters83.1%83.1%0.0 pts
FIIs3.8%0.5%-3.3 pts
DIIs5.8%4.8%-1.0 pts
Public and others7.3%11.6%+4.4 pts

Number of shareholders

1.5 lakhshareholders-9% since Sep '24
1.5L1.7L1.9L2.0L Sep '24Mar '25Sep '25Mar '26Jun '26
Sep '24: 1.7 lakh
Dec '24: 1.9 lakh
Mar '25: 2.0 lakh
Jun '25: 1.9 lakh
Sep '25: 1.8 lakh
Dec '25: 1.7 lakh
Mar '26: 1.6 lakh
Jun '26: 1.5 lakh
1.5L1.7L1.9L2.0L Sep '24Jun '25Mar '26Jun '26
Sep '24: 1.7 lakh
Dec '24: 1.9 lakh
Mar '25: 2.0 lakh
Jun '25: 1.9 lakh
Sep '25: 1.8 lakh
Dec '25: 1.7 lakh
Mar '26: 1.6 lakh
Jun '26: 1.5 lakh

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

+3.1%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −24% to +27% vs the market, against −3% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (+6.4%, 80% range −3.7% to +16.5%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
RAYMOND · May 2024: −55.3% vs market
ALLCARGO · Nov 2022: −48.4% vs market
SENCO · Nov 2024: −48.0% vs market
NACLIND · Jun 2023: −47.1% vs market
VRLLOG · Dec 2023: −44.2% vs market
MMFL · May 2024: −42.5% vs market
TNPL · Feb 2020: −41.1% vs market
MANGLMCEM · Jul 2021: −38.3% vs market
NIPPOBATRY · Jun 2021: −35.4% vs market
RITCO · Dec 2024: −33.9% vs market
PNCINFRA · Jul 2021: −24.6% vs market
SAGCEM · Nov 2021: −24.2% vs market
CESC · Jun 2020: −24.2% vs market
SIS · Apr 2022: −23.1% vs market
GLENMARK · Mar 2021: −23.0% vs market
KPIL · Mar 2021: −21.3% vs market
KNRCON · Dec 2021: −18.0% vs market
WELSPUNLIV · Mar 2025: −17.6% vs market
BANSALWIRE · Aug 2025: −17.5% vs market
SUPRAJIT · Aug 2023: −15.9% vs market
BIRLACORPN · Apr 2021: −4.2% vs market
SANDHAR · Jun 2024: −4.2% vs market
PDSL · Mar 2023: −4.1% vs market
KEC · Jun 2020: +2.4% vs market
JKLAKSHMI · Nov 2021: +2.7% vs market
SOBHA · May 2021: +3.5% vs market
LUMAXIND · May 2024: +9.8% vs market
GOODLUCK · Sep 2022: +11.1% vs market
PSPPROJECT · Jan 2025: +11.6% vs market
WELENT · Jul 2025: +14.2% vs market
CHAMBLFERT · May 2021: +16.9% vs market
MINDACORP · Apr 2024: +17.3% vs market
VADILALIND · May 2024: +18.3% vs market
EIDPARRY · May 2021: +23.0% vs market
THANGAMAYL · Aug 2024: +24.0% vs market
CRAFTSMAN · Aug 2024: +24.1% vs market
JBMA · Jan 2020: +24.9% vs market
POWERMECH · May 2024: +27.6% vs market
HGINFRA · Jun 2021: +28.1% vs market
PGIL · Oct 2024: +32.5% vs market
PCBL · Dec 2022: +52.8% vs market
CEMPRO · Apr 2025: +56.7% vs market
FILATEX · Apr 2020: +71.4% vs market
BAJAJELEC · Feb 2020: +74.5% vs market
TCPLPACK · May 2024: +86.4% vs market
TORNTPOWER · Jul 2023: +87.0% vs market
LUMAXTECH · Jul 2024: +107.9% vs market
RKFORGE · Nov 2022: +218.0% vs market
GRAVITA · Jan 2021: +218.7% vs market
AARTIDRUGS · Jan 2020: +268.2% vs market
Similar setups +3.1%All companies −3.3%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 4 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+3.1%
All companies' median
−3.3%
Beat the market
54% vs 46%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 34 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
KPIL
Industrial Services
Mar 2021 15x20% +106%−6% −21%
LUMAXTECH
Producer Manufacturing
Jul 2024 30x18% +50%−5% +108%
JKLAKSHMI
Non-Energy Minerals
Nov 2021 18x20% +92%−14% +3%
THANGAMAYL
Consumer Durables
Aug 2024 50x20% +65%−2% +24%
KEC
Industrial Services
Jun 2020 12x25% −16%−22% +2%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
TORNTPOWER
Utilities
Jul 2023 15x18% +29%−2% +87%
BAJAJELEC
Consumer Durables
Feb 2020 20x17% −9%−29% +75%
LUMAXIND
Producer Manufacturing
May 2024 23x19% +35%−10% +10%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and P/E. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

GODREJ AGROVETGODREJAGRO
Process Industries
63%similar
operating marginrevenue
Utilities
62%similar
P/Epromoter holding
Industrial Services
58%similar
promoter holdingmarket cap
Process Industries
56%similar
P/Emarket cap
ASK AUTOMOTIVEASKAUTOLTD
Producer Manufacturing
51%similar
market cappromoter holding
REDTAPEREDTAPE
Retail Trade
42%similar
volatilityROCE
Retail Trade
17%similar
P/Edebt/equity
Retail Trade
16%similar
ROCEdebt/equity

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What changed?

16 events since Dec '24

  1. OctPriceVolume reached 5.9x its 50-day median on 2026-10-09; price +2.3% that day.
  2. SepValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (18.0x).
  3. JulPriceVolume reached 12.0x its 50-day median on 2026-07-27; price +6.5% that day.
  4. MayPriceVolume reached 19.4x its 50-day median on 2026-05-19; price -4.4% that day.
  5. MarPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Retail Trade on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
  6. FebPriceVolume reached 17.6x its 50-day median on 2026-02-09; price +7.1% that day.
  7. DecResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
  8. DecPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Retail Trade on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
Show 8 earlier events
  1. NovPriceVolume reached 5.8x its 50-day median on 2025-11-12; price +0.9% that day.
  2. SepSharesShare count is up 15.3% over 12 months.
  3. AugPriceVolume reached 8.1x its 50-day median on 2025-08-12; price +5.8% that day.
  4. JunInstitutionsFII + DII holding fell 3.5 pts over 2 quarters to 6.1%.
  5. JunPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Retail Trade on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  6. MarPriceFell 39% from the Sep 2024 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
  7. FebPriceVolume reached 5.4x its 50-day median on 2025-02-14; price -1.5% that day.
  8. DecPriceVolume reached 10.3x its 50-day median on 2024-12-09; price -1.2% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history27 months · 2024-09 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1118.6x₹11438 cr24.6%21.0%0.9x
2026-1017.0x₹11438 cr24.1%21.0%0.9x
2026-0918.0x₹11438 cr24.1%21.0%0.9x
2026-0819.3x₹10740 cr22.2%21.0%0.9x
2026-0722.2x₹10740 cr22.2%21.0%0.9x
2026-0617.8x₹10740 cr22.2%21.0%0.9x
2026-0519.4x₹8784 cr26.1%19.0%0.6x
2026-0423.3x₹8784 cr26.1%19.0%0.6x
2026-0318.9x₹8784 cr26.1%19.0%0.6x
2026-0225.3x₹7917 cr20.3%19.0%0.6x
2026-0125.2x₹7917 cr20.3%19.0%0.6x
2025-1227.8x₹7917 cr20.3%19.0%0.6x
2025-1133.9x₹7740 cr17.3%19.0%0.6x
2025-1034.8x₹7740 cr17.3%19.0%0.6x
2025-0932.5x₹7740 cr17.3%19.0%0.6x
2025-0834.7x₹7693 cr14.9%19.0%0.6x
2025-0735.5x₹7693 cr14.9%19.0%0.6x
2025-0635.3x₹7693 cr14.9%19.0%0.6x
2025-0533.1x₹7617 cr42.0%30.0%0.9x
2025-0430.9x₹7617 cr42.0%30.0%0.9x
2025-0330.5x₹7617 cr42.0%30.0%0.9x
2025-0226.1x₹7153 cr36.5%30.0%0.9x
2025-0127.4x₹7153 cr36.5%30.0%0.9x
2024-1232.2x₹7153 cr36.5%30.0%0.9x
2024-1130.9x₹6524 cr33.9%30.0%0.9x
2024-1032.4x₹6524 cr33.9%30.0%0.9x
2024-0934.0x₹6524 cr33.9%30.0%0.9x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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