Share price
₹7,832.5 latest close · −18.0% over the last 90 sessions
₹7,832.5 month-end · +4.9% over 12 months
₹7,832.5 month-end · +48.7% over 3 years
₹7,832.5 month-end · +1125.3% since Apr '19
52-week range ₹6663.00 to ₹10126.00 · 1-year volatility 30.9%
Was the rally earned?
- The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (+5%).
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 99 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 62.1x to 41.2x), which took 50 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes.
- Per-share earnings added 229 points to the rise, while the multiple moved less (P/E 39.0x to 41.2x).
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-50.2% (2020-02 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-01)
-37.9% (2024-12 peak to 2025-02 low, recovered 2025-09)
-31.9% (2023-12 peak to 2024-01 low, recovered 2024-05)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-09-29: 6.3x the 50-day median, price -1.1% that day
2026-09-04: 5.2x the 50-day median, price -5.8% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 19.2x to 58.6x since 2019-04.
39% above the Producer Manufacturing median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE91stflat vs a year ago
- Op. margin65th▼ 4 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth81stflat vs a year ago
- EPS growth69th▼ 5 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓83rdflat vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓81st▲ 10 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓31stflat vs a year ago
- 12M momentum60th▼ 10 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At P/E of 41.2x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 22.6%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 24.0% | 25.1% | 26.2% |
| 15x | 21.5% | 22.6% | 23.7% |
| 20x | 18.2% | 19.3% | 20.4% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 22.6%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 19%/yr; EPS has since grown 26%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 17%/yr; EPS has since grown 23%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 24%/yr; EPS has since grown 25%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹7832.50
- P/E
- 41.2x
- ROCE
- 33.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹1.18L cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹31187 cr
- P/S
- 3.8x
- P/B
- 9.8x
- ROE
- 23.9%
- Operating Margin
- 14.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.0x
- Promoter Holding
- 61.5%
- 12M Momentum
- 4.9%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance7%Within range
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 6.7%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate25%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 25.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion1.05xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.05x (cash from operations ₹6,916 cr, net profit ₹6,557 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow4 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 4. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history+7 daysWithin range
Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 7 days (48 vs 41). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress30% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 30% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days+26 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by +26 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, FIIs added 6.6 pts; promoters trimmed 4.4 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 3.2 lakh to 3.6 lakh (+12%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like POLYCAB INDIA LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −25% to +4% vs the market, against −3% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −6.8%, 80% range −13.4% to −4.2%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months
50 past situations · 50 companies · 36 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPHASIS Technology Services |
Nov 2021 | 42x | 25% | +125% | −19% | −37% |
| PERSISTENT Technology Services |
Jul 2025 | 57x | 31% | +7% | −23% | +2% |
| KEI Producer Manufacturing |
Sep 2024 | 64x | 27% | +62% | −11% | +2% |
| HAVELLS Producer Manufacturing |
May 2020 | 39x | 29% | −34% | −38% | +19% |
| BAJAJ-AUTO Consumer Durables |
Feb 2025 | 29x | 34% | 0% | −38% | +10% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and P/E. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Nov '22
- OctPriceFell 26% from the Jun 2026 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
- SepPriceVolume reached 6.3x its 50-day median on 2026-09-29; price -1.1% that day.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- JanPriceVolume reached 8.3x its 50-day median on 2026-01-14; price -3.1% that day.
- DecInstitutionsFII + DII holding rose 3.6 pts over 2 quarters to 25.7%.
- DecPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- DecPriceVolume reached 9.6x its 50-day median on 2025-12-17; price -3.8% that day.
- SepPriceRegained the 2024-12 peak, 7 months after the low.
Show 22 earlier events
- JulPriceVolume reached 5.6x its 50-day median on 2025-07-18; price +0.6% that day.
- MayPriceVolume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2025-05-06; price +1.9% that day.
- MarPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- FebPriceFell 38% from the Dec 2024 peak to the Feb 2025 low.
- FebPriceVolume reached 18.3x its 50-day median on 2025-02-28; price +0.7% that day.
- DecInstitutionsFII + DII holding rose 3.6 pts over 2 quarters to 22.8%.
- DecPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
- NovValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (61.6x).
- OctPriceVolume reached 5.6x its 50-day median on 2024-10-18; price -0.0% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹18,039 cr.
- JunPriceVolume reached 22.0x its 50-day median on 2024-06-28; price -3.6% that day.
- MayPriceRegained the 2023-12 peak, 4 months after the low.
- MarValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (59.7x).
- JanPriceFell 32% from the Dec 2023 peak to the Jan 2024 low.
- JanPriceVolume reached 51.9x its 50-day median on 2024-01-11; price -21.0% that day.
- NovPriceVolume reached 12.5x its 50-day median on 2023-11-30; price +2.0% that day.
- JulValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (56.8x).
- JulPriceVolume reached 19.7x its 50-day median on 2023-07-20; price +9.5% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹14,108 cr.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- MayPriceVolume reached 8.2x its 50-day median on 2023-05-31; price -1.7% that day.
- NovPriceVolume reached 12.2x its 50-day median on 2022-11-18; price -1.7% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 41.2x | ₹31187 cr | 23.9% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-10 | 40.9x | ₹31187 cr | 24.2% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-09 | 42.2x | ₹31187 cr | 24.2% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-08 | 53.2x | ₹28883 cr | 22.6% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-07 | 51.3x | ₹28883 cr | 22.6% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-06 | 56.1x | ₹28883 cr | 22.6% | 33.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-05 | 54.3x | ₹27005 cr | 27.0% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-04 | 46.5x | ₹27005 cr | 27.0% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-03 | 39.2x | ₹27005 cr | 27.0% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-02 | 52.6x | ₹24595 cr | 25.4% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-01 | 42.9x | ₹24595 cr | 25.4% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-12 | 46.6x | ₹24595 cr | 25.4% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-11 | 50.7x | ₹23616 cr | 22.8% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-10 | 52.3x | ₹23616 cr | 22.8% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-09 | 49.5x | ₹23616 cr | 22.8% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-08 | 52.8x | ₹22408 cr | 20.8% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-07 | 50.8x | ₹22408 cr | 20.8% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-06 | 48.8x | ₹22408 cr | 20.8% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-05 | 49.0x | ₹21014 cr | 22.8% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-04 | 45.1x | ₹21014 cr | 22.8% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-03 | 42.1x | ₹21014 cr | 22.8% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-02 | 39.5x | ₹20128 cr | 22.2% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-01 | 50.6x | ₹20128 cr | 22.2% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-12 | 60.9x | ₹20128 cr | 22.2% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-11 | 61.6x | ₹18848 cr | 22.0% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-10 | 54.7x | ₹18848 cr | 22.0% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-09 | 58.7x | ₹18848 cr | 22.0% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-08 | 57.4x | ₹18039 cr | 22.0% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-07 | 57.8x | ₹18039 cr | 22.0% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-06 | 56.8x | ₹18039 cr | 22.0% | 31.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-05 | 79.5x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-04 | 66.8x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-03 | 59.7x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-02 | 56.0x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-01 | 51.2x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-12 | 64.7x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-11 | 62.1x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-10 | 58.0x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-09 | 63.0x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-08 | 60.4x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-07 | 56.8x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-06 | 41.9x | ₹14108 cr | 19.3% | 27.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-05 | 56.3x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-04 | 52.7x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-03 | 47.4x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-02 | 50.7x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-01 | 48.0x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-12 | 42.3x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-11 | 42.2x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-10 | 45.7x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-09 | 42.1x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-08 | 40.6x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-07 | 38.1x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-06 | 36.2x | ₹12204 cr | 16.5% | 21.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-05 | 41.3x | ₹8792 cr | 18.6% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-04 | 42.0x | ₹8792 cr | 18.6% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-03 | 40.0x | ₹8792 cr | 18.6% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-02 | 40.1x | ₹8792 cr | 18.6% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-01 | 42.7x | ₹8792 cr | 18.6% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
| 2021-12 | 41.7x | ₹8792 cr | 18.6% | 23.0% | 0.1x |
Older months are in the live observatory.