अApnaFunda

LEELA PALACES HOTELS & RESORTS (THELEELA)

Consumer Services · Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines · figures to Nov '26

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.67 / 100
Profitability 71Balance sheet 62
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.75 / 100
Price 96Earnings 53FII/DII 76

Passes these screensHigh MomentumInstitutions in, retail outNear 52-week high

Share price

Closing priceAdjusted for splits and bonus issues.

₹660.25 latest close · +38.8% over the last 90 sessions

₹500₹600₹700Jul 3Jul 29Aug 24Sep 17Oct 14Nov 9 ₹500₹600₹700Jul 3Sep 4Nov 9

₹660.25 month-end · +60.4% over 12 months

₹400₹500₹600Nov '25Jan '26Apr '26Jun '26Sep '26Nov '26 ₹400₹500₹600Nov '25May '26Nov '26

₹660.25 month-end · +63.0% since Jun '25

₹400₹500₹600Jun '25Sep '25Jan '26Apr '26Aug '26Nov '26 ₹400₹500₹600Jun '25Mar '26Nov '26

52-week range ₹384.50 to ₹706.70 · 1-year volatility 32.7%

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-16.3%recovered 2026-06
1-year volatility32.7%annualised
Volume spikes5last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Drawdown from peak

0%−5%−10%−15%2026−14.6% 0%−5%−10%−15%2026−14.6%
Largest drawdowns

-16.3% (2025-10 peak to 2025-12 low, recovered 2026-06)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-11-02: 5.4x the 50-day median, price +5.8% that day

2026-10-15: 9.6x the 50-day median, price +0.9% that day

2026-08-03: 9.1x the 50-day median, price +1.5% that day

Where does it rank among Consumer Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

Where it ranks today

  • ROCE52nd▼ 9 pts vs a year ago
  • Op. margin90th▲ 3 pts vs a year ago
  • Revenue growth77th
  • EPS growth100th
  • Debt/equity ↓46th▲ 25 pts vs a year ago
  • Cash cycle ↓55thflat vs a year ago
  • P/E ↓20th▲ 15 pts vs a year ago
  • 12M momentum98th

Rank history

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Dec '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Jul '26Nov '26
Lower rank Higher rank Not enough data

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Services sector page Watch it move against Consumer Services in the Observatory

What is the price implying?

~26%annual earnings growth implied by the price

At a P/E of 49.8x, the price would imply about 26.3%/yr earnings growth for 10 years under the same assumptions, but it is not ranked.

Fewer than six years of annual earnings are available, which is too little to measure delivered growth.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Services The market-wide Expectations lists

Key figures

Share Priceclose 9 Nov
₹660.25
P/E
49.8x
ROCE
9.0%
Market Cap
₹22058 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹1604 cr
P/S
13.8x
P/B
3.4x
ROE
6.9%
Operating Margin
36.0%
Debt / Equity
0.3x
Promoter Holding
75.9%
12M Momentum
60.4%

52-week range

₹384.50₹706.70
86% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
32.7%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
0.64

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
4.5x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
4.16x
Share count, 1Y
+21.0%

Are profits backed by cash?

5 of 5checks within rangeAll clear
Other income reliance9%Within range

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 9.1%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate19%Within range

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 18.5%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion4.16xWithin range

Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 4.16x (cash from operations ₹1,869 cr, net profit ₹449 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.

Free cash flow4 of 4 yrsWithin range

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 4: 4. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Capital work in progress3% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 3% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tap a check to see how it is measured

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Since Jun 2025, DIIs added 1.6 pts; FIIs trimmed 0.8 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 90,898 to 56,090 (-38%) between Jun 2025 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupJun '25Jun '26Change
Promoters75.9%75.9%0.0 pts
FIIs8.7%7.9%-0.8 pts
DIIs9.9%11.5%+1.6 pts
Public and others5.5%4.7%-0.8 pts

Number of shareholders

56,090shareholders-38% since Jun '25
51k65k78k91k Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26
Jun '25: 90,898
Sep '25: 59,930
Dec '25: 52,887
Mar '26: 51,427
Jun '26: 56,090
51k65k78k91k Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Jun '25: 90,898
Sep '25: 59,930
Dec '25: 52,887
Mar '26: 51,427
Jun '26: 56,090

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

What happened next to similar setups

−11.1%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like LEELA PALACES HOTELS & RESORTS today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −22% to +11% vs the market, against −3% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−8.0%, 80% range −16.0% to +3.2%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−60%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+60%+80%+100%
ASIANTILES · Sep 2020: −61.9% vs market
GREENPANEL · Feb 2022: −40.9% vs market
STARCEMENT · Aug 2025: −39.8% vs market
DALBHARAT · Aug 2021: −34.8% vs market
PHOENIXLTD · Feb 2020: −30.2% vs market
FLUOROCHEM · Jul 2022: −29.0% vs market
ERIS · Sep 2025: −25.3% vs market
TORNTPHARM · Jun 2020: −25.2% vs market
INDHOTEL · Apr 2025: −24.3% vs market
ALKEM · May 2020: −24.1% vs market
EPL · May 2020: −23.4% vs market
JSWINFRA · Mar 2025: −22.6% vs market
CIPLA · Sep 2020: −22.4% vs market
FORTIS · Oct 2025: −20.6% vs market
RADICO · Jul 2023: −19.5% vs market
SUNPHARMA · May 2020: −19.1% vs market
UNOMINDA · Dec 2021: −17.9% vs market
DLF · Jan 2020: −17.6% vs market
VIJAYA · Nov 2024: −17.6% vs market
CHALET · Aug 2025: −16.9% vs market
SHREECEM · Jan 2020: −16.9% vs market
MEDANTA · Jan 2024: −16.3% vs market
PRESTIGE · May 2024: −12.7% vs market
RAINBOW · Aug 2025: −12.6% vs market
TRENT · Jan 2020: −11.6% vs market
GODREJPROP · Mar 2024: −10.6% vs market
LODHA · Jun 2024: −9.8% vs market
RAMCOCEM · Feb 2020: −7.6% vs market
AARTIIND · Mar 2020: −4.4% vs market
OBEROIRLTY · Aug 2022: +1.7% vs market
ASTERDM · Oct 2025: +6.2% vs market
THERMAX · Aug 2022: +6.2% vs market
SRF · May 2020: +7.3% vs market
SYNGENE · Apr 2020: +7.6% vs market
ANANTRAJ · Jul 2024: +8.0% vs market
KIMS · May 2025: +8.5% vs market
ANURAS · Sep 2025: +9.6% vs market
ZYDUSLIFE · Jun 2020: +11.8% vs market
TEGA · May 2023: +15.2% vs market
TATACHEM · Sep 2021: +19.8% vs market
TATACONSUM · Jan 2020: +22.6% vs market
IPCALAB · Jan 2020: +23.8% vs market
MAXHEALTH · Mar 2023: +25.1% vs market
CHOICEIN · May 2023: +34.0% vs market
SHILPAMED · Jun 2025: +34.1% vs market
ASTRAMICRO · Aug 2025: +51.1% vs market
AZAD · Oct 2025: +52.3% vs market
VBL · Jul 2022: +58.9% vs market
NAVINFLUOR · Sep 2025: +77.4% vs market
LAURUSLABS · Sep 2025: +133.9% vs market
Similar setups −11.1%All companies −3.1%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−11.1%
All companies' median
−3.1%
Beat the market
42% vs 46%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 29 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
NAVINFLUOR
Process Industries
Sep 2025 65x11% +34%−11% +77%
PHOENIXLTD
Finance
Feb 2020 31x11% +37%−8% −30%
FORTIS
Health Services
Oct 2025 89x12% +64%−7% −21%
MEDANTA
Health Services
Jan 2024 94x17% +159%0% −16%
INDHOTEL
Consumer Services
Apr 2025 62x15% +37%−12% −24%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
ANURAS
Health Technology
Sep 2025 95x7% +45%−8% +10%
MAXHEALTH
Health Services
Mar 2023 71x12% +27%−6% +25%
LAURUSLABS
Health Technology
Sep 2025 89x9% +82%−10% +134%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and P/E. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 5 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to LEELA PALACES HOTELS & RESORTS. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-11-09. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 98,395 company-months from 2019 companies; financial: 5,659 company-months from 108 companies. 2349 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

Retail Trade
62%similar
debt/equityoperating margin
Process Industries
57%similar
market capoperating margin
HAPPY FORGINGSHAPPYFORGE
Producer Manufacturing
51%similar
promoter holdingrevenue
Industrial Services
51%similar
P/Evolatility
Health Technology
45%similar
P/Evolatility
Consumer Services
58%similar
operating marginpromoter holding
Consumer Services
55%similar
promoter holdingoperating margin
Consumer Services
41%similar
market capoperating margin

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What changed?

9 events since Sep '25

  1. OctPriceVolume reached 9.6x its 50-day median on 2026-10-15; price +0.9% that day.
  2. JulDebtDebt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.28x.
  3. JulPriceVolume reached 9.5x its 50-day median on 2026-07-31; price +5.7% that day.
  4. JunDebtDebt / equity fell below 1.0x (0.28x).
  5. JunSharesShare count is up 21.0% over 12 months.
  6. JunPriceVolume reached 14.7x its 50-day median on 2026-06-19; price +8.0% that day.
  7. JanPriceVolume reached 11.3x its 50-day median on 2026-01-30; price +4.9% that day.
  8. OctPriceVolume reached 16.3x its 50-day median on 2025-10-14; price -5.7% that day.
Show 1 earlier event
  1. SepPriceVolume reached 6.9x its 50-day median on 2025-09-15; price +0.0% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Monthly history18 months · 2025-06 to 2026-11
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-1149.8x₹1604 cr6.9%9.0%0.3x
2026-1047.8x₹1604 cr6.9%9.0%0.3x
2026-0943.2x₹1604 cr6.9%9.0%0.3x
2026-0847.3x₹1527 cr6.3%9.0%0.3x
2026-0741.0x₹1527 cr6.3%9.0%0.3x
2026-0639.4x₹1527 cr6.3%9.0%0.3x
2026-0537.0x₹1468 cr9.8%12.0%1.2x
2026-0438.3x₹1468 cr9.8%12.0%1.2x
2026-0336.6x₹1468 cr9.8%12.0%1.2x
2026-02262.2x₹1381 cr7.2%12.0%1.2x
2026-01243.4x₹1381 cr7.2%12.0%1.2x
2025-12250.6x₹1381 cr7.2%12.0%1.2x
2025-11238.0x₹1347 cr3.7%12.0%1.2x
2025-10250.7x₹1347 cr3.7%12.0%1.2x
2025-09238.7x₹1347 cr3.7%12.0%1.2x
2025-08230.9x₹1300 cr1.3%12.0%1.2x
2025-07239.2x₹1300 cr1.3%12.0%1.2x
2025-06234.2x₹1300 cr1.3%12.0%1.2x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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