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HT MEDIA LIMITED (HTMEDIA)

Consumer Services

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.36 / 100
Profitability 32Growth 36Balance sheet 41
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.51 / 100
Price 50Earnings 50FII/DII 52

Passes these screens: Cash Rich

Share Price
₹22.52
ROCE
6.0%
Market Cap
₹524 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹1897 cr
P/S
0.3x
P/B
0.3x
ROE
-0.6%
Operating Margin
7.0%
Debt / Equity
0.5x
Promoter Holding
69.5%
12M Momentum
-17.6%

52-week range

₹17.52₹31.30
36% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
43.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
1.09

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
1.2x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
5.00x
Share count, 1Y
unchanged

What is the price implying?

Trailing earnings per share are negative, so a P/E-based figure does not exist. See the loss-makers list on the Expectations Gap page for a revenue-based version.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Aug '26Volume reached 49.9x its 50-day median on 2026-08-05; price +8.2% that day.
  2. Jun '26EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  3. Jun '26Moved into the 3rd quartile of Consumer Services on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
  4. May '26Volume reached 6.5x its 50-day median on 2026-05-29; price +2.3% that day.
  5. Mar '26P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (907.0x).
  6. Mar '26Volume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2026-03-30; price -5.5% that day.
  7. Dec '25Volume reached 7.9x its 50-day median on 2025-12-10; price -5.4% that day.
  8. Aug '25Volume reached 5.7x its 50-day median on 2025-08-05; price -3.7% that day.
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Jun '25EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  2. Jun '25Moved into the 3rd quartile of Consumer Services on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
  3. May '25Volume reached 25.0x its 50-day median on 2025-05-20; price +20.0% that day.
  4. Feb '25Volume reached 7.4x its 50-day median on 2025-02-04; price +2.4% that day.
  5. Oct '24Volume reached 21.0x its 50-day median on 2024-10-16; price +11.2% that day.
  6. Jul '24Volume reached 10.5x its 50-day median on 2024-07-26; price -4.9% that day.
  7. May '24Volume reached 7.4x its 50-day median on 2024-05-08; price +7.2% that day.
  8. Jan '24Volume reached 13.9x its 50-day median on 2024-01-08; price +9.9% that day.
  9. Oct '23Volume reached 5.8x its 50-day median on 2023-10-09; price +1.2% that day.
  10. Jul '23Volume reached 23.4x its 50-day median on 2023-07-21; price +8.5% that day.
  11. Jun '23EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  12. Jun '23Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Services on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
  13. Jun '23Volume reached 5.2x its 50-day median on 2023-06-16; price +6.8% that day.
  14. Dec '22Volume reached 9.1x its 50-day median on 2022-12-14; price +8.0% that day.
  15. Sep '22Volume reached 9.9x its 50-day median on 2022-09-06; price +11.6% that day.
  16. Jun '22EPS (TTM) turned positive.
  17. Jan '22Volume reached 22.5x its 50-day median on 2022-01-03; price +7.4% that day.
  18. Oct '21Volume reached 8.4x its 50-day median on 2021-10-29; price -0.6% that day.
  19. Jul '21Volume reached 22.6x its 50-day median on 2021-07-20; price +7.7% that day.
  20. May '21Volume reached 31.9x its 50-day median on 2021-05-24; price +20.0% that day.
  21. Jan '21Volume reached 32.9x its 50-day median on 2021-01-07; price +5.5% that day.
  22. Dec '20Volume reached 35.3x its 50-day median on 2020-12-11; price +6.0% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

3 of 6 checks are within range, 1 near a threshold, 2 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance244%Beyond threshold

Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 243.8%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.

Tax rate-17%Beyond threshold

Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: -17.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history-2 daysWithin range

Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 2 days (80 vs 82). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress1% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 1% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days+16 days / 2 yrsWithin range

Days payable changed by +16 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 47,946 to 39,192 (-18%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters69.5%69.5%0.0 pts
FIIs0.3%0.0%-0.3 pts
DIIs0.1%0.1%0.0 pts
Public and others29.6%29.8%+0.3 pts

Number of shareholders

39,192shareholders-18% since Dec '23
39k43k46k49k Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 47,946
Mar '24: 49,226
Jun '24: 47,411
Sep '24: 46,451
Dec '24: 46,452
Mar '25: 45,753
Jun '25: 45,553
Sep '25: 43,165
Dec '25: 41,114
Mar '26: 39,974
Jun '26: 39,192
39k43k46k49k Dec '23Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 47,946
Mar '24: 49,226
Jun '24: 47,411
Sep '24: 46,451
Dec '24: 46,452
Mar '25: 45,753
Jun '25: 45,553
Sep '25: 43,165
Dec '25: 41,114
Mar '26: 39,974
Jun '26: 39,192

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-83.1%not yet recovered
1-year volatility43.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index1.123-year daily, correlation 0.50
Volume spikes6last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹10₹22₹33₹45 Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2019-01: ₹40.15
2019-02: ₹37.15
2019-03: ₹45.00
2019-04: ₹39.35
2019-05: ₹33.95
2019-06: ₹28.90
2019-07: ₹24.05
2019-08: ₹22.80
2019-09: ₹21.90
2019-10: ₹18.30
2019-11: ₹16.05
2019-12: ₹14.15
2020-01: ₹15.70
2020-02: ₹13.10
2020-03: ₹10.00
2020-04: ₹12.40
2020-05: ₹10.70
2020-06: ₹12.95
2020-07: ₹12.45
2020-08: ₹15.90
2020-09: ₹14.25
2020-10: ₹13.80
2020-11: ₹14.15
2020-12: ₹16.05
2021-01: ₹17.10
2021-02: ₹26.20
2021-03: ₹20.80
2021-04: ₹22.35
2021-05: ₹26.05
2021-06: ₹26.70
2021-07: ₹30.75
2021-08: ₹23.95
2021-09: ₹25.00
2021-10: ₹26.20
2021-11: ₹22.95
2021-12: ₹27.60
2022-01: ₹32.20
2022-02: ₹30.75
2022-03: ₹33.25
2022-04: ₹30.60
2022-05: ₹25.00
2022-06: ₹19.20
2022-07: ₹20.55
2022-08: ₹20.35
2022-09: ₹21.25
2022-10: ₹21.70
2022-11: ₹21.05
2022-12: ₹21.95
2023-01: ₹19.65
2023-02: ₹17.40
2023-03: ₹14.95
2023-04: ₹17.40
2023-05: ₹19.40
2023-06: ₹19.95
2023-07: ₹21.35
2023-08: ₹24.60
2023-09: ₹25.05
2023-10: ₹25.20
2023-11: ₹24.40
2023-12: ₹25.45
2024-01: ₹32.55
2024-02: ₹31.00
2024-03: ₹26.45
2024-04: ₹28.15
2024-05: ₹25.45
2024-06: ₹26.93
2024-07: ₹28.24
2024-08: ₹25.12
2024-09: ₹24.85
2024-10: ₹25.13
2024-11: ₹24.01
2024-12: ₹23.01
2025-01: ₹20.90
2025-02: ₹18.20
2025-03: ₹16.43
2025-04: ₹16.61
2025-05: ₹19.53
2025-06: ₹21.01
2025-07: ₹23.94
2025-08: ₹24.89
2025-09: ₹26.97
2025-10: ₹27.33
2025-11: ₹24.03
2025-12: ₹23.35
2026-01: ₹22.29
2026-02: ₹21.82
2026-03: ₹18.14
2026-04: ₹22.10
2026-05: ₹22.88
2026-06: ₹21.77
2026-07: ₹24.65
2026-08: ₹26.35
2026-09: ₹23.02
2026-10: ₹22.52
₹10₹22₹33₹45 Jan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
2019-01: ₹40.15
2019-02: ₹37.15
2019-03: ₹45.00
2019-04: ₹39.35
2019-05: ₹33.95
2019-06: ₹28.90
2019-07: ₹24.05
2019-08: ₹22.80
2019-09: ₹21.90
2019-10: ₹18.30
2019-11: ₹16.05
2019-12: ₹14.15
2020-01: ₹15.70
2020-02: ₹13.10
2020-03: ₹10.00
2020-04: ₹12.40
2020-05: ₹10.70
2020-06: ₹12.95
2020-07: ₹12.45
2020-08: ₹15.90
2020-09: ₹14.25
2020-10: ₹13.80
2020-11: ₹14.15
2020-12: ₹16.05
2021-01: ₹17.10
2021-02: ₹26.20
2021-03: ₹20.80
2021-04: ₹22.35
2021-05: ₹26.05
2021-06: ₹26.70
2021-07: ₹30.75
2021-08: ₹23.95
2021-09: ₹25.00
2021-10: ₹26.20
2021-11: ₹22.95
2021-12: ₹27.60
2022-01: ₹32.20
2022-02: ₹30.75
2022-03: ₹33.25
2022-04: ₹30.60
2022-05: ₹25.00
2022-06: ₹19.20
2022-07: ₹20.55
2022-08: ₹20.35
2022-09: ₹21.25
2022-10: ₹21.70
2022-11: ₹21.05
2022-12: ₹21.95
2023-01: ₹19.65
2023-02: ₹17.40
2023-03: ₹14.95
2023-04: ₹17.40
2023-05: ₹19.40
2023-06: ₹19.95
2023-07: ₹21.35
2023-08: ₹24.60
2023-09: ₹25.05
2023-10: ₹25.20
2023-11: ₹24.40
2023-12: ₹25.45
2024-01: ₹32.55
2024-02: ₹31.00
2024-03: ₹26.45
2024-04: ₹28.15
2024-05: ₹25.45
2024-06: ₹26.93
2024-07: ₹28.24
2024-08: ₹25.12
2024-09: ₹24.85
2024-10: ₹25.13
2024-11: ₹24.01
2024-12: ₹23.01
2025-01: ₹20.90
2025-02: ₹18.20
2025-03: ₹16.43
2025-04: ₹16.61
2025-05: ₹19.53
2025-06: ₹21.01
2025-07: ₹23.94
2025-08: ₹24.89
2025-09: ₹26.97
2025-10: ₹27.33
2025-11: ₹24.03
2025-12: ₹23.35
2026-01: ₹22.29
2026-02: ₹21.82
2026-03: ₹18.14
2026-04: ₹22.10
2026-05: ₹22.88
2026-06: ₹21.77
2026-07: ₹24.65
2026-08: ₹26.35
2026-09: ₹23.02
2026-10: ₹22.52

Last 90 trading days

₹21₹24₹26₹29 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹22.76
2026-06-25: ₹22.38
2026-06-30: ₹21.77
2026-07-02: ₹22.02
2026-07-06: ₹25.42
2026-07-08: ₹24.07
2026-07-10: ₹25.41
2026-07-14: ₹27.16
2026-07-16: ₹26.50
2026-07-20: ₹26.31
2026-07-22: ₹25.67
2026-07-24: ₹24.26
2026-07-28: ₹24.88
2026-07-30: ₹24.53
2026-08-03: ₹24.87
2026-08-05: ₹28.66
2026-08-07: ₹27.74
2026-08-11: ₹27.35
2026-08-13: ₹26.51
2026-08-17: ₹25.77
2026-08-19: ₹26.09
2026-08-21: ₹27.57
2026-08-25: ₹27.29
2026-08-27: ₹27.05
2026-08-31: ₹26.35
2026-09-02: ₹26.19
2026-09-04: ₹26.12
2026-09-08: ₹25.41
2026-09-10: ₹24.32
2026-09-15: ₹23.55
2026-09-17: ₹24.00
2026-09-21: ₹24.04
2026-09-23: ₹24.86
2026-09-25: ₹24.06
2026-09-29: ₹23.46
2026-10-01: ₹22.38
2026-10-06: ₹22.99
2026-10-08: ₹22.06
2026-10-12: ₹23.18
2026-10-14: ₹24.15
2026-10-16: ₹24.78
2026-10-21: ₹23.73
2026-10-23: ₹23.21
2026-10-27: ₹22.08
2026-10-29: ₹23.03
2026-10-30: ₹22.52
₹21₹24₹26₹29 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹22.76
2026-06-25: ₹22.38
2026-06-30: ₹21.77
2026-07-02: ₹22.02
2026-07-06: ₹25.42
2026-07-08: ₹24.07
2026-07-10: ₹25.41
2026-07-14: ₹27.16
2026-07-16: ₹26.50
2026-07-20: ₹26.31
2026-07-22: ₹25.67
2026-07-24: ₹24.26
2026-07-28: ₹24.88
2026-07-30: ₹24.53
2026-08-03: ₹24.87
2026-08-05: ₹28.66
2026-08-07: ₹27.74
2026-08-11: ₹27.35
2026-08-13: ₹26.51
2026-08-17: ₹25.77
2026-08-19: ₹26.09
2026-08-21: ₹27.57
2026-08-25: ₹27.29
2026-08-27: ₹27.05
2026-08-31: ₹26.35
2026-09-02: ₹26.19
2026-09-04: ₹26.12
2026-09-08: ₹25.41
2026-09-10: ₹24.32
2026-09-15: ₹23.55
2026-09-17: ₹24.00
2026-09-21: ₹24.04
2026-09-23: ₹24.86
2026-09-25: ₹24.06
2026-09-29: ₹23.46
2026-10-01: ₹22.38
2026-10-06: ₹22.99
2026-10-08: ₹22.06
2026-10-12: ₹23.18
2026-10-14: ₹24.15
2026-10-16: ₹24.78
2026-10-21: ₹23.73
2026-10-23: ₹23.21
2026-10-27: ₹22.08
2026-10-29: ₹23.03
2026-10-30: ₹22.52

Drawdown from peak

0% -40% -79% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -40% -79% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-83.1% (2019-01 peak to 2020-03 low, not yet recovered)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-08-06: 8.5x the 50-day median, price -6.1% that day

2026-08-05: 49.9x the 50-day median, price +8.2% that day

2026-07-14: 14.8x the 50-day median, price +5.2% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Consumer Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Services sector page Watch it move against Consumer Services in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
NAHAR INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES (NAHARINDUS)Process Industries70%market cap, promoter holding
MAWANA SUGARS (MAWANASUG)Process Industries67%revenue growth, revenue
GODAVARI BIOREFINERIES (GODAVARIB)Process Industries66%ROCE, revenue
BMW VENTURES LIMITED (BMWVENTLTD)Non-Energy Minerals64%market cap, debt/equity
RUPA & COMPANY (RUPA)Consumer Non-Durables62%revenue growth, operating margin
NEW DELHI TELEVISION (NDTV)Consumer Services42%promoter holding, volatility
JAGRAN PRAKASHAN (JAGRAN)Consumer Services25%revenue, promoter holding
TVTODAY NETWORK (TVTODAY)Consumer Services23%market cap, operating margin

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

+9.6%typical 12-month return vs the marketAbove the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like HT MEDIA LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −11% to +51% vs the market, against −8% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The analogs' median sat above that base rate (gap +17.7%, 80% range +10.7% to +23.6%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−50%0%+50%+100%
GENUSPAPER · Mar 2025: −52.5% vs market
RSWM · Jan 2024: −32.3% vs market
QUESS · Nov 2024: −29.6% vs market
RCF · Aug 2025: −29.1% vs market
NCLIND · Nov 2023: −22.9% vs market
TNPL · Aug 2025: −19.4% vs market
BANSWRAS · Jul 2025: −18.0% vs market
IGPL · Jul 2024: −17.3% vs market
SUKHJITS · Apr 2025: −17.0% vs market
SUNDRMBRAK · Oct 2021: −16.3% vs market
NAHARINDUS · Jun 2025: −13.7% vs market
UCAL · Jun 2023: −12.0% vs market
AVADHSUGAR · Aug 2023: −11.0% vs market
COSMOFIRST · Nov 2024: −10.3% vs market
ORIENTBELL · Feb 2025: −7.0% vs market
NAHARSPING · Jun 2025: −6.6% vs market
SAHYADRI · Jul 2025: −4.5% vs market
SUPERHOUSE · Sep 2025: −4.2% vs market
MAWANASUG · May 2024: −4.2% vs market
BODALCHEM · Apr 2025: −2.5% vs market
ZUARI · Mar 2025: +1.9% vs market
EMAMIPAP · Aug 2025: +4.7% vs market
GANDHAR · Jun 2025: +4.8% vs market
SUTLEJTEX · Jan 2020: +5.6% vs market
MEGASTAR · May 2025: +6.5% vs market
PPAP · Sep 2025: +12.7% vs market
OBCL · Oct 2025: +12.9% vs market
PRSMJOHNSN · Mar 2023: +14.1% vs market
TBZ · Feb 2023: +16.3% vs market
MUNJALAU · Aug 2023: +20.0% vs market
MAGADSUGAR · May 2023: +20.8% vs market
SIS · Oct 2025: +24.7% vs market
BHARATGEAR · Jul 2025: +28.4% vs market
JAYBARMARU · Aug 2025: +35.0% vs market
WHEELS · Feb 2025: +35.5% vs market
TVSSRICHAK · Sep 2025: +39.2% vs market
TEXRAIL · Oct 2021: +47.8% vs market
GOKUL · May 2020: +52.1% vs market
ISGEC · Apr 2023: +52.5% vs market
RANEHOLDIN · Jun 2022: +54.4% vs market
INDIAGLYCO · Apr 2024: +62.2% vs market
APEX · Aug 2025: +67.1% vs market
PGIL · Jun 2021: +90.3% vs market
MANGLMCEM · Jun 2023: +90.3% vs market
RAYMOND · Mar 2021: +91.5% vs market
RICOAUTO · Jun 2022: +102.5% vs market
AYMSYNTEX · Jun 2024: +129.0% vs market
HPL · Aug 2022: +181.8% vs market
JINDALSAW · Dec 2022: +212.9% vs market
SANGAMIND · Dec 2020: +235.6% vs market
Similar setups +9.6%All companies −8.1%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 6 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
+9.6%
All companies' median
−8.1%
Beat the market
60% vs 41%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 31 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
BANSWRAS
Process Industries
Jul 2025 22x7% −15%−17% −18%
UCAL
Producer Manufacturing
Jun 2023 347x5% +14%−9% −12%
NAHARINDUS
Process Industries
Jun 2025 32x4% +1%−21% −14%
PGIL
Consumer Non-Durables
Jun 2021 27x5% +105%−8% +90%
MUNJALAU
Producer Manufacturing
Aug 2023 11x9% +17%−6% +20%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
BODALCHEM
Process Industries
Apr 2025 134x3% −17%−25% −3%
GOKUL
Process Industries
May 2020 11x8% −27%−41% +52%
INDIAGLYCO
Process Industries
Apr 2024 7x8% +49%−11% +62%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, operating margin and 12-month momentum. Not used (unavailable for this company): P/E. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to HT MEDIA LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (94 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-10—₹1897 cr-0.6%6.0%0.5x
2026-09—₹1897 cr-0.6%6.0%0.5x
2026-08—₹1854 cr-3.3%6.0%0.5x
2026-07—₹1854 cr-3.3%6.0%0.5x
2026-06—₹1854 cr-3.3%6.0%0.5x
2026-051144.0x₹1857 cr0.0%6.0%0.4x
2026-041105.0x₹1857 cr0.0%6.0%0.4x
2026-03907.0x₹1857 cr0.0%6.0%0.4x
2026-0228.7x₹1850 cr2.2%6.0%0.4x
2026-0129.3x₹1850 cr2.2%6.0%0.4x
2025-1230.7x₹1850 cr2.2%6.0%0.4x
2025-1140.0x₹1822 cr2.1%6.0%0.4x
2025-1045.5x₹1822 cr2.1%6.0%0.4x
2025-0945.0x₹1822 cr2.1%6.0%0.4x
2025-08355.6x₹1807 cr0.1%6.0%0.4x
2025-07342.0x₹1807 cr0.1%6.0%0.4x
2025-06300.1x₹1807 cr0.1%6.0%0.4x
2025-05—₹1757 cr-2.4%0.0%0.5x
2025-04—₹1757 cr-2.4%0.0%0.5x
2025-03—₹1757 cr-2.4%0.0%0.5x
2025-02—₹1710 cr-3.2%0.0%0.5x
2025-01—₹1710 cr-3.2%0.0%0.5x
2024-12—₹1710 cr-3.2%0.0%0.5x
2024-11—₹1680 cr-6.4%0.0%0.5x
2024-10—₹1680 cr-6.4%0.0%0.5x
2024-09—₹1680 cr-6.4%0.0%0.5x
2024-08—₹1694 cr-5.9%0.0%0.5x
2024-07—₹1694 cr-5.9%0.0%0.5x
2024-06—₹1694 cr-5.9%0.0%0.5x
2024-05—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2024-04—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2024-03—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2024-02—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2024-01—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2023-12—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2023-11—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2023-10—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2023-09—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2023-08—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2023-07—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2023-06—₹1711 cr-15.4%-4.0%0.5x
2023-0525.5x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2023-0422.9x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2023-0319.7x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2023-0222.9x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2023-0125.9x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2022-1228.9x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2022-1127.7x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2022-1028.6x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2022-0928.0x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2022-0826.8x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2022-0727.0x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2022-0625.3x₹1500 cr1.0%2.0%0.4x
2022-05—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2022-04—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2022-03—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2022-02—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2022-01—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2021-12—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2021-11—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2021-10—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2021-09—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2021-08—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2021-07—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2021-06—₹1117 cr-3.4%-1.0%0.4x
2021-05—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2021-04—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2021-03—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2021-02—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2021-01—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2020-12—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2020-11—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2020-10—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2020-09—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2020-08—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2020-07—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2020-06—₹2083 cr-17.7%5.0%0.4x
2020-05—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2020-04—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2020-03—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2020-02—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2020-01—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2019-12—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2019-11—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2019-10—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2019-09—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2019-08—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2019-07—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2019-06—₹2199 cr-0.5%3.0%0.4x
2019-052.6x₹2299 cr15.3%13.0%0.5x
2019-043.0x₹2299 cr15.3%13.0%0.5x
2019-033.4x₹2299 cr15.3%13.0%0.5x
2019-022.8x₹2299 cr15.3%13.0%0.5x
2019-013.0x₹2299 cr15.3%13.0%0.5x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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