अApnaFunda

NEW DELHI TELEVISION LIMITED (NDTV)

Consumer Services

Quality scoreHow the business itself ranks against its sector peers on profitability, 3-year growth and leverage. 50 is the middle of the sector.25 / 100
Profitability 3Growth 57Balance sheet 16
Momentum scoreHow strong the recent trend is: 3-month price change, 12-month improvement in earnings and the rise in FII + DII holding, among companies above ₹500 cr.13 / 100
Price 18Earnings 8
Share Price
₹60.49
ROCE
-73.0%
Market Cap
₹682 cr
Revenue (TTM)
₹537 cr
P/S
1.3x
P/B
5.3x
ROE
-260.6%
Operating Margin
-58.0%
Debt / Equity
2.0x
Promoter Holding
69.0%
12M Momentum
-34.4%

52-week range

₹58.00₹104.43
5% of the way from its 52-week low to its high

Price risk

1Y volatility
41.4%
Beta vs sector
1-year daily
1.24

Balance sheet & cash

Interest cover
operating profit ÷ interest
-10.0x
Cash from profit, 3Y
operating cash flow ÷ net profit
0.63x
Share count, 1Y
+73.1%

What is the price implying?

Trailing earnings per share are negative, so a P/E-based figure does not exist. See the loss-makers list on the Expectations Gap page for a revenue-based version.

“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect.

What prices imply across Consumer Services The market-wide Expectations lists

What changed?

  1. Jul '26Volume reached 15.8x its 50-day median on 2026-07-09; price +6.0% that day.
  2. Jun '26Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 2.02x.
  3. Jun '26Share count is up 73.1% over 12 months.
  4. May '26Volume reached 27.2x its 50-day median on 2026-05-27; price +10.1% that day.
  5. Mar '26Promoter holding rose 4.3 pts to 69.0%.
  6. Mar '26Fell 86% from the Sep 2022 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
  7. Jan '26Volume reached 6.1x its 50-day median on 2026-01-01; price +3.5% that day.
  8. Dec '25Volume reached 172.3x its 50-day median on 2025-12-16; price +12.1% that day.
Show 22 earlier events
  1. Sep '25Volume reached 21.9x its 50-day median on 2025-09-22; price +0.8% that day.
  2. Jun '25Debt / equity rose above 1.0x (5.73x).
  3. May '25Volume reached 31.7x its 50-day median on 2025-05-20; price +11.1% that day.
  4. Mar '25Revenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹445 cr.
  5. Jan '25Volume reached 16.9x its 50-day median on 2025-01-16; price +9.9% that day.
  6. Nov '24Volume reached 20.3x its 50-day median on 2024-11-21; price -0.7% that day.
  7. Sep '24Promoter holding fell 5.0 pts to 64.7%.
  8. Jun '24EPS (TTM) turned negative.
  9. Jun '24Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Services on ROCE (from the top quartile).
  10. Jun '24Volume reached 11.3x its 50-day median on 2024-06-04; price -18.9% that day.
  11. Apr '24P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (42.2x).
  12. Mar '24Moved into the 3rd quartile of Consumer Services on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
  13. Jan '24Volume reached 27.8x its 50-day median on 2024-01-03; price +3.5% that day.
  14. Dec '23Volume reached 128.1x its 50-day median on 2023-12-06; price +7.2% that day.
  15. Nov '23P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (40.2x).
  16. Sep '23Volume reached 9.2x its 50-day median on 2023-09-11; price +5.4% that day.
  17. Jun '23Year-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
  18. Jun '23P/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (41.8x).
  19. Jun '23Slipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Services on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
  20. May '23Volume reached 17.7x its 50-day median on 2023-05-31; price -5.0% that day.
  21. Apr '23Debt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.09x.
  22. Jan '23Volume reached 5.5x its 50-day median on 2023-01-03; price +1.5% that day.

Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.

Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month

Are profits backed by cash?

2 of 3 checks are within range, 1 beyond a threshold.
Tap a check to see how it is measured.

Other income reliance—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Tax rate—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Cash conversion—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

Free cash flow1 of 5 yrsBeyond threshold

Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 1. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.

Receivable days vs history+1 daysWithin range

Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 1 days (111 vs 110). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.

Capital work in progress2% of fixed assetsWithin range

Capital work-in-progress is 2% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.

Payable days—Not enough data

Not enough reported data to compute this.

How to read this

Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.

All terms explained in the glossary →

Who has been buying and selling?

  • Over 2 years, promoters trimmed 0.7 pts.
  • The number of shareholders fell from 85,846 to 77,690 (-10%) between Dec 2023 and Jun 2026.

Holdings, Jun '26

How each group changed

GroupDec '23Jun '26Change
Promoters69.7%69.0%-0.7 pts
FIIs0.1%0.0%-0.1 pts
DIIs———
Public and others30.1%31.0%+0.8 pts

Number of shareholders

77,690shareholders-10% since Dec '23
78k80k83k86k Dec '23Jun '24Dec '24Jun '25Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 85,846
Mar '24: 83,769
Jun '24: 84,426
Sep '24: 80,934
Dec '24: 80,922
Mar '25: 79,842
Jun '25: 78,198
Sep '25: 78,358
Dec '25: 80,423
Mar '26: 78,156
Jun '26: 77,690
78k80k83k86k Dec '23Dec '24Dec '25Jun '26
Dec '23: 85,846
Mar '24: 83,769
Jun '24: 84,426
Sep '24: 80,934
Dec '24: 80,922
Mar '25: 79,842
Jun '25: 78,198
Sep '25: 78,358
Dec '25: 80,423
Mar '26: 78,156
Jun '26: 77,690

Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.

This quarter's smart-money board

How rough has the ride been?

Maximum drawdown-86.3%not yet recovered
1-year volatility41.4%annualised
Beta vs sector index1.193-year daily, correlation 0.53
Volume spikes1last 90 sessions, 5x the 50-day median

Monthly share price

₹20₹138₹256₹374 Jan '19Aug '20Mar '22Oct '23May '25Oct '26
2019-01: ₹28.22
2019-02: ₹27.78
2019-03: ₹28.54
2019-04: ₹27.62
2019-05: ₹27.66
2019-06: ₹27.70
2019-07: ₹27.70
2019-08: ₹25.48
2019-09: ₹24.69
2019-10: ₹25.88
2019-11: ₹21.83
2019-12: ₹20.72
2020-01: ₹22.94
2020-02: ₹24.77
2020-03: ₹20.20
2020-04: ₹19.88
2020-05: ₹32.70
2020-06: ₹29.45
2020-07: ₹27.11
2020-08: ₹28.06
2020-09: ₹25.36
2020-10: ₹23.14
2020-11: ₹33.81
2020-12: ₹31.43
2021-01: ₹30.04
2021-02: ₹37.94
2021-03: ₹44.81
2021-04: ₹43.06
2021-05: ₹58.34
2021-06: ₹56.67
2021-07: ₹57.59
2021-08: ₹61.40
2021-09: ₹68.46
2021-10: ₹62.75
2021-11: ₹61.20
2021-12: ₹92.04
2022-01: ₹88.11
2022-02: ₹118.47
2022-03: ₹180.19
2022-04: ₹150.78
2022-05: ₹135.34
2022-06: ₹139.70
2022-07: ₹203.68
2022-08: ₹374.26
2022-09: ₹296.11
2022-10: ₹255.39
2022-11: ₹354.26
2022-12: ₹274.48
2023-01: ₹196.93
2023-02: ₹150.93
2023-03: ₹152.17
2023-04: ₹150.46
2023-05: ₹188.84
2023-06: ₹180.50
2023-07: ₹181.65
2023-08: ₹170.10
2023-09: ₹165.46
2023-10: ₹154.86
2023-11: ₹173.76
2023-12: ₹208.28
2024-01: ₹214.87
2024-02: ₹202.69
2024-03: ₹167.13
2024-04: ₹182.25
2024-05: ₹196.77
2024-06: ₹175.30
2024-07: ₹174.02
2024-08: ₹160.09
2024-09: ₹148.70
2024-10: ₹133.43
2024-11: ₹141.74
2024-12: ₹127.95
2025-01: ₹112.68
2025-02: ₹93.27
2025-03: ₹88.71
2025-04: ₹93.55
2025-05: ₹130.10
2025-06: ₹125.28
2025-07: ₹109.17
2025-08: ₹112.13
2025-09: ₹114.55
2025-10: ₹92.28
2025-11: ₹85.94
2025-12: ₹95.98
2026-01: ₹81.82
2026-02: ₹79.80
2026-03: ₹59.28
2026-04: ₹78.64
2026-05: ₹83.15
2026-06: ₹80.39
2026-07: ₹77.10
2026-08: ₹72.20
2026-09: ₹69.14
2026-10: ₹60.49
₹20₹138₹256₹374 Jan '19Aug '21Mar '24Oct '26
2019-01: ₹28.22
2019-02: ₹27.78
2019-03: ₹28.54
2019-04: ₹27.62
2019-05: ₹27.66
2019-06: ₹27.70
2019-07: ₹27.70
2019-08: ₹25.48
2019-09: ₹24.69
2019-10: ₹25.88
2019-11: ₹21.83
2019-12: ₹20.72
2020-01: ₹22.94
2020-02: ₹24.77
2020-03: ₹20.20
2020-04: ₹19.88
2020-05: ₹32.70
2020-06: ₹29.45
2020-07: ₹27.11
2020-08: ₹28.06
2020-09: ₹25.36
2020-10: ₹23.14
2020-11: ₹33.81
2020-12: ₹31.43
2021-01: ₹30.04
2021-02: ₹37.94
2021-03: ₹44.81
2021-04: ₹43.06
2021-05: ₹58.34
2021-06: ₹56.67
2021-07: ₹57.59
2021-08: ₹61.40
2021-09: ₹68.46
2021-10: ₹62.75
2021-11: ₹61.20
2021-12: ₹92.04
2022-01: ₹88.11
2022-02: ₹118.47
2022-03: ₹180.19
2022-04: ₹150.78
2022-05: ₹135.34
2022-06: ₹139.70
2022-07: ₹203.68
2022-08: ₹374.26
2022-09: ₹296.11
2022-10: ₹255.39
2022-11: ₹354.26
2022-12: ₹274.48
2023-01: ₹196.93
2023-02: ₹150.93
2023-03: ₹152.17
2023-04: ₹150.46
2023-05: ₹188.84
2023-06: ₹180.50
2023-07: ₹181.65
2023-08: ₹170.10
2023-09: ₹165.46
2023-10: ₹154.86
2023-11: ₹173.76
2023-12: ₹208.28
2024-01: ₹214.87
2024-02: ₹202.69
2024-03: ₹167.13
2024-04: ₹182.25
2024-05: ₹196.77
2024-06: ₹175.30
2024-07: ₹174.02
2024-08: ₹160.09
2024-09: ₹148.70
2024-10: ₹133.43
2024-11: ₹141.74
2024-12: ₹127.95
2025-01: ₹112.68
2025-02: ₹93.27
2025-03: ₹88.71
2025-04: ₹93.55
2025-05: ₹130.10
2025-06: ₹125.28
2025-07: ₹109.17
2025-08: ₹112.13
2025-09: ₹114.55
2025-10: ₹92.28
2025-11: ₹85.94
2025-12: ₹95.98
2026-01: ₹81.82
2026-02: ₹79.80
2026-03: ₹59.28
2026-04: ₹78.64
2026-05: ₹83.15
2026-06: ₹80.39
2026-07: ₹77.10
2026-08: ₹72.20
2026-09: ₹69.14
2026-10: ₹60.49

Last 90 trading days

₹60₹68₹75₹83 Jun 23Jul 20Aug 13Sep 8Oct 6Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹81.29
2026-06-25: ₹81.08
2026-06-30: ₹80.39
2026-07-02: ₹81.52
2026-07-06: ₹80.77
2026-07-08: ₹78.05
2026-07-10: ₹82.96
2026-07-14: ₹82.04
2026-07-16: ₹80.57
2026-07-20: ₹80.04
2026-07-22: ₹76.02
2026-07-24: ₹76.66
2026-07-28: ₹76.48
2026-07-30: ₹76.25
2026-08-03: ₹77.39
2026-08-05: ₹77.17
2026-08-07: ₹76.87
2026-08-11: ₹76.95
2026-08-13: ₹76.37
2026-08-17: ₹76.34
2026-08-19: ₹73.34
2026-08-21: ₹75.49
2026-08-25: ₹74.77
2026-08-27: ₹74.20
2026-08-31: ₹72.20
2026-09-02: ₹70.84
2026-09-04: ₹74.27
2026-09-08: ₹73.03
2026-09-10: ₹72.29
2026-09-15: ₹70.43
2026-09-17: ₹71.04
2026-09-21: ₹71.57
2026-09-23: ₹71.11
2026-09-25: ₹70.08
2026-09-29: ₹69.06
2026-10-01: ₹68.08
2026-10-06: ₹67.08
2026-10-08: ₹64.35
2026-10-12: ₹65.18
2026-10-14: ₹65.98
2026-10-16: ₹65.16
2026-10-21: ₹63.20
2026-10-23: ₹60.22
2026-10-27: ₹62.12
2026-10-29: ₹61.76
2026-10-30: ₹60.49
₹60₹68₹75₹83 Jun 23Aug 5Sep 17Oct 30
2026-06-23: ₹81.29
2026-06-25: ₹81.08
2026-06-30: ₹80.39
2026-07-02: ₹81.52
2026-07-06: ₹80.77
2026-07-08: ₹78.05
2026-07-10: ₹82.96
2026-07-14: ₹82.04
2026-07-16: ₹80.57
2026-07-20: ₹80.04
2026-07-22: ₹76.02
2026-07-24: ₹76.66
2026-07-28: ₹76.48
2026-07-30: ₹76.25
2026-08-03: ₹77.39
2026-08-05: ₹77.17
2026-08-07: ₹76.87
2026-08-11: ₹76.95
2026-08-13: ₹76.37
2026-08-17: ₹76.34
2026-08-19: ₹73.34
2026-08-21: ₹75.49
2026-08-25: ₹74.77
2026-08-27: ₹74.20
2026-08-31: ₹72.20
2026-09-02: ₹70.84
2026-09-04: ₹74.27
2026-09-08: ₹73.03
2026-09-10: ₹72.29
2026-09-15: ₹70.43
2026-09-17: ₹71.04
2026-09-21: ₹71.57
2026-09-23: ₹71.11
2026-09-25: ₹70.08
2026-09-29: ₹69.06
2026-10-01: ₹68.08
2026-10-06: ₹67.08
2026-10-08: ₹64.35
2026-10-12: ₹65.18
2026-10-14: ₹65.98
2026-10-16: ₹65.16
2026-10-21: ₹63.20
2026-10-23: ₹60.22
2026-10-27: ₹62.12
2026-10-29: ₹61.76
2026-10-30: ₹60.49

Drawdown from peak

0% -43% -86% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26 0% -43% -86% Jan '19Dec '22Oct '26
Largest drawdowns

-86.3% (2022-09 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)

-47.3% (2019-05 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2020-05)

-44.7% (2020-05 peak to 2020-10 low, recovered 2021-02)

Most recent volume spikes

2026-07-09: 15.8x the 50-day median, price +6.0% that day

Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).

Where does it rank among Consumer Services peers?

Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Services peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).

ROCE
Op. margin
Revenue growth
EPS growth
Debt/equity ↓
Cash cycle ↓
P/E ↓
12M momentum
Nov '21Jul '22Jan '23Jul '23Jan '24Jul '24Jan '25Jul '25Jan '26Oct '26
Lower rank Higher rank

Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.

The Consumer Services sector page Watch it move against Consumer Services in the Observatory

What else looks like this?

Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.

CompanySectorSimilarityClosest on
BIGBLOC CONSTRUCTION (BIGBLOC)Non-Energy Minerals67%debt/equity, market cap
SHREE DIGVIJAY CEMENT CO (SHREDIGCEM)Non-Energy Minerals57%debt/equity, market cap
MAGADH SUGAR & ENERGY (MAGADSUGAR)Process Industries52%market cap, operating margin
GODAVARI BIOREFINERIES (GODAVARIB)Process Industries45%operating margin, volatility
ZUARI INDUSTRIES (ZUARIIND)Process Industries45%market cap, operating margin
HT MEDIA (HTMEDIA)Consumer Services42%promoter holding, volatility
YATRA ONLINE (YATRA)Consumer Services3%market cap, revenue
NETWORK 18 MEDIA & INVESTMENTS (NETWORK18)Consumer Services0%operating margin, ROCE

Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.

What happened next to similar setups

−8.3%typical 12-month return vs the marketNot meaningfully different from the base rate
  • We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like NEW DELHI TELEVISION LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
  • Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −23% to +21% vs the market, against −5% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
  • The gap against the base rate (−3.1%, 80% range −6.3% to +5.4%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.

Where the 50 outcomes landed

−100%−50%0%+50%+100%
SECURKLOUD · Feb 2024: −61.3% vs market
CHEMPLASTS · Sep 2025: −52.4% vs market
SHALPAINTS · Jul 2024: −42.6% vs market
SPENCERS · Nov 2021: −36.9% vs market
SPLIL · Jul 2024: −33.5% vs market
KRITI · Mar 2024: −29.6% vs market
APCL · Oct 2024: −28.7% vs market
ZODIACLOTH · Jun 2025: −27.8% vs market
VIPIND · Jun 2025: −27.5% vs market
SUNCLAY · Sep 2025: −27.2% vs market
UNITECH · May 2025: −25.6% vs market
DCW · Oct 2025: −24.5% vs market
RBA · May 2024: −24.4% vs market
RAMANEWS · Aug 2021: −19.8% vs market
TIRUMALCHM · May 2025: −19.6% vs market
NAGAFERT · May 2022: −18.5% vs market
KREBSBIO · Oct 2024: −17.9% vs market
ACL · May 2025: −16.2% vs market
CCHHL · Jul 2022: −13.4% vs market
ASTEC · Sep 2025: −10.5% vs market
SHEMAROO · Oct 2025: −9.9% vs market
DWARKESH · May 2025: −9.1% vs market
MUKTAARTS · Jul 2023: −9.1% vs market
SUPREMEINF · May 2025: −8.9% vs market
DTIL · Jun 2024: −8.4% vs market
PRSMJOHNSN · May 2024: −8.2% vs market
NITCO · Feb 2021: −3.6% vs market
MUKANDLTD · Apr 2022: −0.7% vs market
NEXTMEDIA · Jun 2024: +0.9% vs market
HERITGFOOD · Jun 2020: +1.9% vs market
NSLNISP · Mar 2025: +2.2% vs market
IFBIND · May 2023: +3.0% vs market
ESTER · Jun 2024: +9.8% vs market
TRF · Apr 2021: +12.1% vs market
DREDGECORP · Jan 2022: +13.9% vs market
A2ZINFRA · Aug 2024: +17.4% vs market
ASAHISONG · Oct 2023: +18.5% vs market
ENIL · Jan 2023: +22.3% vs market
VARROC · May 2023: +25.8% vs market
MTNL · Nov 2020: +32.9% vs market
OMAXE · Aug 2025: +33.4% vs market
INDIACEM · Apr 2024: +35.0% vs market
RENUKA · Apr 2020: +41.0% vs market
SWSOLAR · Jan 2023: +42.3% vs market
PRAXIS · May 2021: +59.7% vs market
PARAGMILK · Oct 2022: +74.0% vs market
RML · May 2022: +77.9% vs market
ATULAUTO · Jul 2022: +87.1% vs market
SHREERAMA · Jan 2023: +126.1% vs market
TARC · Nov 2022: +135.5% vs market
Similar setups −8.3%All companies −5.2%← worse than the marketbetter than the market →

Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 2 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge

Similar setups' median
−8.3%
All companies' median
−5.2%
Beat the market
44% vs 44%

50 past situations · 50 companies · 32 months · 2020–2025

The closest matches

CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
SPLIL
Consumer Non-Durables
Jul 2024 —-35% +4%−14% −34%
ACL
Non-Energy Minerals
May 2025 —-6% −24%−39% −16%
DWARKESH
Process Industries
May 2025 —— −30%−40% −9%
PARAGMILK
Consumer Non-Durables
Oct 2022 —-39% −21%−31% +74%
SECURKLOUD
Technology Services
Feb 2024 —-42% +38%−18% −61%
Show the other 3 matches
CompanyWhenP/EROCE12M mom.DrawdownNext 12 months
TRF
Producer Manufacturing
Apr 2021 —-83% +33%−20% +12%
OMAXE
Finance
Aug 2025 —-62% −30%−32% +33%
ASTEC
Process Industries
Sep 2025 —-13% −32%−35% −11%
How reliable is this?

Matched on P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and P/S. Not used (unavailable for this company): P/E. This company is loss-making, so it was only compared with loss-making companies. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.

Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.

How this is built

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to NEW DELHI TELEVISION LIMITED. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.

Methodology

How historical analogs are built

Data as of 2026-10-30. Outcome pool: Jan 2020 to Oct 2025.

For every company we look at the situation it is in today (valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, 12-month price momentum, drawdown, size and volatility) and find past company-months that looked most like it. We then show what happened to those past situations over the following 12 months, measured against the ApnaFunda All index and against the base rate. It describes history. It does not predict anything.

What is compared

FeatureWeightNon-financialFinancial
P/E1yesyes
P/S1yes—
P/B1—yes
ROCE1yes—
operating margin1yes—
ROE1—yes
debt/equity0.75yes—
interest cover0.5yes—
revenue growth0.75yesyes
12-month momentum1yesyes
drawdown from 12-month high0.75yesyes
size0.75yesyes
volatility0.5yesyes

Weights were set by judgement before any outcome was looked at and are never tuned on results. Loss-making companies (negative P/E or net profit) are only matched with other loss-making companies. Banks, NBFCs and insurers are compared only with each other and use a different feature set. Every feature is converted, month by month, to its rank among companies in the same pool in that month, so a P/E of 30 in a hot market and a P/E of 22 in a cold one can match if both were equally expensive for their time. Only that month's data is used.

How closeness and the sample are defined

Distance is the weighted root-mean-square gap between the standardised features both companies have. A match needs at least 70% of the query's feature weight, a distance of at most 0.9, and 30 matches at minimum to be shown. We keep up to 50 matches with these exclusions: never the company itself, one match per company (its closest month), and at most 7 from any one calendar month so a single market episode cannot dominate.

Base rate

The base rate is the distribution of 12-month returns, relative to the market, of every eligible company-month in the same pool, with each month weighted to match the months the analogs came from. It answers: how did a random company do in these same months? Because matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, we also report the number of distinct 12-month windows behind a result, and a bootstrap that resamples months decides whether the analog median differs from the base rate at all. "Not meaningfully different" is the usual outcome and the page copy is written for it.

Limits you should know

  • One market period. The outcome pool covers 2020–2025 only (70 months), including the 2020 crash and the 2020–21 rally.
  • Survivorship. Only companies listed today are included. Delisted and bankrupt companies are missing, which flatters past outcomes, particularly for distressed-looking setups.
  • Price return only. Dividends are excluded, and the benchmark is an ApnaFunda market-cap-weighted index of the same listed companies, not an official index.
  • Reporting lag. Fundamentals are matched on an assumed 60-day lag after the quarter end, not on real announcement dates.
  • Pools: non-financial: 97,430 company-months from 2000 companies; financial: 5,632 company-months from 106 companies. 2240 companies currently have a result; the rest are suppressed because too few comparable situations exist.

Does it work? A walk-forward check

The walk-forward check has not been run for this build, so skill is shown as not yet measured.

Disclaimer

This is history, not a forecast. These are past situations where other companies had broadly similar reported numbers and price trends. What happened to them does not tell you what will happen to any company shown. The comparison covers only 2020–2025, a single market period, and only companies still listed today. Companies that were delisted or went bankrupt are missing, which makes past outcomes look better than they were. Returns exclude dividends and are measured against an ApnaFunda-built index, not an official benchmark. Fundamentals are matched on a 60-day assumed reporting lag, not actual announcement dates. Its historical skill has not yet been measured. Past patterns may not repeat.
Monthly history (94 months)
MonthP/ERevenue (TTM)ROEROCEDebt / Equity
2026-10—₹537 cr-260.6%-73.0%2.0x
2026-09—₹537 cr-261.7%-73.0%2.0x
2026-08—₹528 cr-252.3%-73.0%2.0x
2026-07—₹528 cr-252.3%-73.0%2.0x
2026-06—₹528 cr-252.3%-73.0%2.0x
2026-05—₹507 cr-484.7%-48.0%5.7x
2026-04—₹507 cr-484.7%-48.0%5.7x
2026-03—₹507 cr-484.7%-48.0%5.7x
2026-02—₹490 cr-442.4%-48.0%5.7x
2026-01—₹490 cr-442.4%-48.0%5.7x
2025-12—₹490 cr-442.4%-48.0%5.7x
2025-11—₹479 cr-406.8%-48.0%5.7x
2025-10—₹479 cr-406.8%-48.0%5.7x
2025-09—₹479 cr-406.8%-48.0%5.7x
2025-08—₹465 cr-367.8%-48.0%5.7x
2025-07—₹465 cr-367.8%-48.0%5.7x
2025-06—₹465 cr-367.8%-48.0%5.7x
2025-05—₹445 cr-63.3%-4.0%0.4x
2025-04—₹445 cr-63.3%-4.0%0.4x
2025-03—₹445 cr-63.3%-4.0%0.4x
2025-02—₹410 cr-45.9%-4.0%0.4x
2025-01—₹410 cr-45.9%-4.0%0.4x
2024-12—₹410 cr-45.9%-4.0%0.4x
2024-11—₹395 cr-23.2%-4.0%0.4x
2024-10—₹395 cr-23.2%-4.0%0.4x
2024-09—₹395 cr-23.2%-4.0%0.4x
2024-08—₹370 cr-8.1%-4.0%0.4x
2024-07—₹370 cr-8.1%-4.0%0.4x
2024-06—₹370 cr-8.1%-4.0%0.4x
2024-0545.5x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2024-0442.2x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2024-0338.7x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2024-0246.9x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2024-0149.7x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2023-1248.2x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2023-1140.2x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2023-1035.8x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2023-0938.3x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2023-0839.4x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2023-0742.0x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2023-0641.8x₹386 cr18.9%19.0%0.0x
2023-0526.7x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2023-0421.3x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2023-0321.5x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2023-0221.3x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2023-0127.8x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2022-1238.8x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2022-1150.0x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2022-1036.1x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2022-0941.8x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2022-0852.9x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2022-0728.8x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2022-0619.7x₹396 cr36.5%39.0%0.1x
2022-0521.5x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2022-0424.0x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2022-0328.6x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2022-0218.8x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2022-0114.0x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2021-1214.6x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2021-119.7x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2021-1010.0x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2021-0910.9x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2021-089.8x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2021-079.2x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2021-069.0x₹358 cr49.3%49.0%0.5x
2021-0527.1x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2021-0420.0x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2021-0320.8x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2021-0217.6x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2021-0114.0x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2020-1214.6x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2020-1115.7x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2020-1010.8x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2020-0911.8x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2020-0813.1x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2020-0712.6x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2020-0613.7x₹373 cr31.8%24.0%1.4x
2020-0535.9x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2020-0421.8x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2020-0322.2x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2020-0227.2x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2020-0125.2x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2019-1222.8x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2019-1124.0x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2019-1028.4x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2019-0927.1x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2019-0828.0x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2019-0730.4x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2019-0630.4x₹399 cr16.7%21.0%2.4x
2019-05—₹426 cr-171.4%-16.0%3.9x
2019-04—₹426 cr-171.4%-16.0%3.9x
2019-03—₹426 cr-171.4%-16.0%3.9x
2019-02—₹426 cr-171.4%-16.0%3.9x
2019-01—₹426 cr-171.4%-16.0%3.9x

Methodology and data notes

Methodology

Methodology and data notes

All figures come from public exchange prices and screener.in financial statements. Quarterly and annual results are shown from 60 days after the period end, so a month never uses a result before it would plausibly have been published. Statements are the latest versions, which may include later restatements.

Sector medians, percentiles and indices use today's listed companies in the sector (survivorship bias). Prices are adjusted for splits and bonus issues; around a corporate action the fundamentals may lag the price by up to a month, and affected sections are hidden.

The return decomposition uses price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count. The reverse DCF uses a fixed 12% cost of equity, a 10-year horizon and a 15x terminal P/E, and is an illustration only. Events, flags and twins follow fixed rules and thresholds described next to each section.

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