Share price
₹324.64 latest close · +36.3% over the last 90 sessions
₹324.64 month-end · −2.3% over 12 months
₹324.64 month-end · +45.2% over 3 years
₹324.64 month-end · +56.3% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹177.84 to ₹376.95 · 1-year volatility 50.8%
Was the rally earned?
- The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (-2%).
- The share count rose 5%.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 100 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 49.2x to 31.4x), which took 55 points back.
- The share count rose 8%.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 243 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 49.9x to 31.4x), which took 78 points back.
- The share count rose 47%.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-81.0% (2019-07 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2024-02)
-51.6% (2025-11 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)
-49.6% (2024-02 peak to 2025-03 low, recovered 2025-09)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-11-05: 13.7x the 50-day median, price +10.9% that day
2026-11-04: 9.7x the 50-day median, price +17.0% that day
2026-10-06: 8x the 50-day median, price +9.9% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 9.5x to 48.8x since 2019-01.
17% above the Consumer Non-Durables median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Consumer Non-Durables peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Non-Durables peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE49th▼ 6 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin20th▼ 6 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth57thflat vs a year ago
- EPS growth42nd▼ 32 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓38th▲ 16 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓64th▲ 3 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓43rd▼ 9 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum65th▼ 30 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Consumer Non-Durables sector page Watch it move against Consumer Non-Durables in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At P/E of 31.4x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 20.2%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 21.7% | 22.8% | 23.9% |
| 15x | 19.1% | 20.2% | 21.2% |
| 20x | 15.8% | 16.8% | 17.9% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 20.2%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 15%/yr; EPS has since grown −4%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 10%/yr; EPS has since grown −1%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 11%/yr; EPS has since grown 34%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Consumer Non-Durables The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹324.64
- P/E
- 31.4x
- ROCE
- 13.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹4081 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹3911 cr
- P/S
- 1.0x
- P/B
- 3.2x
- ROE
- 10.3%
- Operating Margin
- 7.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.5x
- Promoter Holding
- 40.5%
- 12M Momentum
- -2.3%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance27%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 27.0%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate14%Near threshold
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 14.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion1.34xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.34x (cash from operations ₹463 cr, net profit ₹345 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history-5 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 5 days (23 vs 28). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress6% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 6% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days-4 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by -4 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, DIIs trimmed 2.3 pts; FIIs trimmed 1.3 pts; promoters trimmed 1.1 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 62,708 to 88,951 (+42%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like PARAG MILK FOODS LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −27% to +27% vs the market, against −1% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (−6.0%, 80% range −11.9% to +4.9%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 38 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISGEC Industrial Services |
May 2024 | 40x | 11% | +82% | −11% | +7% |
| KIRLOSBROS Producer Manufacturing |
Apr 2021 | 27x | 12% | +134% | −6% | +7% |
| ELECON Producer Manufacturing |
Apr 2022 | 37x | 11% | +105% | −11% | +134% |
| GREENPLY Producer Manufacturing |
Jul 2025 | 44x | 12% | −9% | −20% | −16% |
| SALASAR Producer Manufacturing |
Sep 2022 | 28x | 13% | +8% | −12% | +46% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: P/E, drawdown from 12-month high and 12-month momentum. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Jun '23
- NovPriceVolume reached 13.7x its 50-day median on 2026-11-05; price +10.9% that day.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- SepPriceVolume reached 14.6x its 50-day median on 2026-09-10; price +4.4% that day.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunSharesShare count is up 5.0% over 12 months.
- MarPriceFell 52% from the Nov 2025 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- DecPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
- NovPriceVolume reached 14.1x its 50-day median on 2025-11-12; price +13.3% that day.
- SepPriceRegained the 2024-02 peak, 6 months after the low.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- SepPriceVolume reached 17.5x its 50-day median on 2025-09-15; price +7.5% that day.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
- MayPriceVolume reached 22.4x its 50-day median on 2025-05-05; price +14.3% that day.
- MarPriceFell 50% from the Feb 2024 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
- DecPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
- OctPriceVolume reached 23.4x its 50-day median on 2024-10-03; price +5.3% that day.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- JulPriceVolume reached 13.3x its 50-day median on 2024-07-16; price +6.2% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Consumer Non-Durables on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
- JunDividendStarted paying a dividend (payout 7% of profit).
- MayPriceVolume reached 7.1x its 50-day median on 2024-05-21; price -13.7% that day.
- FebPriceRegained the 2019-07 peak, 47 months after the low.
- FebPriceVolume reached 17.0x its 50-day median on 2024-02-12; price +7.2% that day.
- DecValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (51.2x).
- DecPriceVolume reached 6.8x its 50-day median on 2023-12-06; price +7.7% that day.
- JulSharesShare count is up 23.2% over 12 months.
- JulPriceVolume reached 9.7x its 50-day median on 2023-07-21; price +4.3% that day.
- JunResultsEPS (TTM) turned positive.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 31.4x | ₹3911 cr | 10.3% | 13.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-10 | 22.5x | ₹3911 cr | 10.3% | 13.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-09 | 26.2x | ₹3911 cr | 10.3% | 13.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-08 | 23.3x | ₹3818 cr | 10.8% | 13.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-07 | 19.7x | ₹3818 cr | 10.8% | 13.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-06 | 21.4x | ₹3818 cr | 10.8% | 13.0% | 0.5x |
| 2026-05 | 21.1x | ₹3791 cr | 12.7% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-04 | 21.3x | ₹3791 cr | 12.7% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-03 | 17.1x | ₹3791 cr | 12.7% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-02 | 18.1x | ₹3663 cr | 13.3% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2026-01 | 22.6x | ₹3663 cr | 13.3% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-12 | 26.0x | ₹3663 cr | 13.3% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-11 | 33.3x | ₹3526 cr | 11.6% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-10 | 31.2x | ₹3526 cr | 11.6% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-09 | 26.0x | ₹3526 cr | 11.6% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-08 | 22.8x | ₹3432 cr | 11.5% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-07 | 24.7x | ₹3432 cr | 11.5% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-06 | 22.3x | ₹3432 cr | 11.5% | 14.0% | 0.6x |
| 2025-05 | 24.6x | ₹3304 cr | 11.2% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-04 | 21.0x | ₹3304 cr | 11.2% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-03 | 17.4x | ₹3304 cr | 11.2% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-02 | 17.0x | ₹3220 cr | 11.0% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2025-01 | 20.1x | ₹3220 cr | 11.0% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-12 | 22.2x | ₹3220 cr | 11.0% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-11 | 25.4x | ₹3147 cr | 10.5% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-10 | 25.3x | ₹3147 cr | 10.5% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-09 | 23.6x | ₹3147 cr | 10.5% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-08 | 24.8x | ₹3139 cr | 9.9% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-07 | 25.2x | ₹3139 cr | 9.9% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-06 | 22.8x | ₹3139 cr | 9.9% | 11.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-05 | 37.2x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-04 | 46.7x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-03 | 45.8x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-02 | 53.5x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2024-01 | 45.3x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-12 | 51.2x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-11 | 49.2x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-10 | 44.9x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-09 | 47.1x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-08 | 42.8x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-07 | 37.9x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-06 | 32.4x | ₹2893 cr | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.8x |
| 2023-05 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-04 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-03 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-02 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2023-01 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2022-12 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2022-11 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2022-10 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2022-09 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2022-08 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2022-07 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2022-06 | — | ₹2072 cr | -96.0% | -39.0% | 0.9x |
| 2022-05 | 36.3x | ₹1842 cr | 2.3% | 7.0% | 0.4x |
| 2022-04 | 41.0x | ₹1842 cr | 2.3% | 7.0% | 0.4x |
| 2022-03 | 39.3x | ₹1842 cr | 2.3% | 7.0% | 0.4x |
| 2022-02 | 40.9x | ₹1842 cr | 2.3% | 7.0% | 0.4x |
| 2022-01 | 44.7x | ₹1842 cr | 2.3% | 7.0% | 0.4x |
| 2021-12 | 45.4x | ₹1842 cr | 2.3% | 7.0% | 0.4x |
Older months are in the live observatory.