Share price
₹107.13 latest close · −5.4% over the last 90 sessions
₹107.13 month-end · −16.4% over 12 months
₹107.13 month-end · −24.9% over 3 years
₹107.13 month-end · +107.6% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹78.05 to ₹142.95 · 1-year volatility 47.3%
Was the rally earned?
Mostly the multiple.
- Most of the fall came from investors paying a lower multiple (P/E 23.3x to 20.1x); per-share earnings took off 3 points.
- The share count rose 2%.
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 164 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 176.1x to 20.1x), which took 189 points back.
- The share count rose 27%.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 524 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 63.9x to 20.1x), which took 243 points back.
- The share count rose 49%.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-80.5% (2019-05 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2023-06)
-72.6% (2024-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)
-33.9% (2024-01 peak to 2024-03 low, recovered 2024-06)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-09-30: 10.6x the 50-day median, price +4.8% that day
2026-09-24: 5.4x the 50-day median, price +1.6% that day
2026-09-23: 5.1x the 50-day median, price +4.7% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 18.0x to 173.9x since 2019-01.
32% below the Producer Manufacturing median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE32nd▼ 10 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin28thflat vs a year ago
- Revenue growth7th▼ 73 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth33rd▼ 45 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓38th▼ 3 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓42nd▼ 4 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓70thflat vs a year ago
- 12M momentum35th▲ 21 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 35.7x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 21.3%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 22.8% | 23.9% | 25.0% |
| 15x | 20.2% | 21.3% | 22.3% |
| 20x | 16.9% | 18.0% | 19.0% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 21.3%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 20%/yr; EPS has since grown 5%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 33%/yr; EPS has since grown 58%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹107.13
- P/E
- 20.1x
- ROCE
- 11.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹4357 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹4224 cr
- P/S
- 1.0x
- P/B
- 1.8x
- ROE
- 9.1%
- Operating Margin
- 8.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.4x
- Promoter Holding
- 48.3%
- 12M Momentum
- -16.4%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance24%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 24.0%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate33%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 33.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion0.74xNear threshold
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.74x (cash from operations ₹412 cr, net profit ₹556 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow3 of 5 yrsNear threshold
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 3. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history+6 daysWithin range
Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 6 days (104 vs 98). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress16% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 16% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days-27 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by -27 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, promoters trimmed 10.4 pts; FIIs added 2.7 pts; DIIs trimmed 1.0 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 1.6 lakh to 3.8 lakh (+147%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like TEXMACO RAIL & ENGINEERING LIM today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −16% to +48% vs the market, against −1% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+8.8%, 80% range −3.6% to +19.7%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 6 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 38 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WELCORP Producer Manufacturing |
May 2023 | 15x | 13% | +12% | −14% | +51% |
| JKIL Industrial Services |
May 2023 | 18x | 13% | +5% | −26% | +105% |
| IRCON Industrial Services |
Sep 2025 | 24x | 12% | −25% | −28% | −32% |
| NELCAST Non-Energy Minerals |
May 2021 | 18x | 7% | +95% | −7% | −23% |
| ARVIND Process Industries |
Jan 2025 | 31x | 13% | +7% | −25% | −13% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TVSSRICHAK Consumer Durables |
Dec 2020 | 17x | 11% | +13% | −10% | −22% |
| CAPACITE Industrial Services |
Feb 2021 | 15x | 14% | +28% | −8% | −49% |
| PCJEWELLER Consumer Durables |
Oct 2021 | 21x | 6% | +79% | −13% | +262% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and ROCE. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Jan '24
- SepInstitutionsFII + DII holding fell 3.2 pts over 2 quarters to 10.1%.
- SepPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
- SepPriceVolume reached 10.6x its 50-day median on 2026-09-30; price +4.8% that day.
- MayPriceVolume reached 45.0x its 50-day median on 2026-05-13; price +13.7% that day.
- MarResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- MarPriceFell 73% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
- MarValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (17.8x).
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
- FebPriceVolume reached 28.9x its 50-day median on 2026-02-17; price +4.4% that day.
- DecPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the top quartile).
- DecPriceVolume reached 14.9x its 50-day median on 2025-12-23; price +1.5% that day.
- SepPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
- JunPriceVolume reached 7.7x its 50-day median on 2025-06-04; price +7.2% that day.
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
- FebPriceVolume reached 5.4x its 50-day median on 2025-02-01; price -9.5% that day.
- JanDebtDebt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.25x.
- SepPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
- JulPriceVolume reached 6.6x its 50-day median on 2024-07-01; price +1.0% that day.
- JunPromoterPromoter holding fell 2.0 pts to 48.1% (largest drop since 2024-03).
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹3,503 cr.
- JunPriceRegained the 2024-01 peak, 3 months after the low.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the bottom quartile).
- JunDebtDebt / equity halved over 12 months to 0.25x.
- JunSharesShare count is up 25.0% over 12 months.
- JunPriceVolume reached 13.1x its 50-day median on 2024-06-27; price +7.5% that day.
- MarPromoterPromoter holding fell 8.5 pts to 50.2%.
- MarInstitutionsFII + DII holding rose 9.9 pts over 1 quarter to 18.4%.
- MarPriceFell 34% from the Jan 2024 peak to the Mar 2024 low.
- JanPriceVolume reached 5.0x its 50-day median on 2024-01-20; price +7.5% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 20.1x | ₹4224 cr | 9.1% | 11.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-10 | 18.5x | ₹4224 cr | 9.0% | 11.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-09 | 24.8x | ₹4224 cr | 9.0% | 11.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-08 | 22.5x | ₹4378 cr | 8.1% | 11.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-07 | 23.0x | ₹4378 cr | 8.1% | 11.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-06 | 22.2x | ₹4378 cr | 8.1% | 11.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-05 | 23.6x | ₹4557 cr | 6.2% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-04 | 23.9x | ₹4557 cr | 6.2% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-03 | 17.8x | ₹4557 cr | 6.2% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-02 | 19.8x | ₹4841 cr | 7.4% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-01 | 24.1x | ₹4841 cr | 7.4% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-12 | 26.0x | ₹4841 cr | 7.4% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-11 | 23.3x | ₹4929 cr | 7.8% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-10 | 24.9x | ₹4929 cr | 7.8% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-09 | 25.0x | ₹4929 cr | 7.8% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-08 | 21.9x | ₹5106 cr | 8.9% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-07 | 23.6x | ₹5106 cr | 8.9% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-06 | 28.2x | ₹5106 cr | 8.9% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-05 | 25.0x | ₹4905 cr | 10.0% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2025-04 | 21.2x | ₹4905 cr | 10.0% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2025-03 | 21.1x | ₹4905 cr | 10.0% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2025-02 | 24.7x | ₹4475 cr | 8.2% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2025-01 | 37.4x | ₹4475 cr | 8.2% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-12 | 36.9x | ₹4475 cr | 8.2% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-11 | 50.7x | ₹3934 cr | 6.3% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-10 | 52.9x | ₹3934 cr | 6.3% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-09 | 50.1x | ₹3934 cr | 6.3% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-08 | 78.4x | ₹3503 cr | 4.5% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-07 | 86.7x | ₹3503 cr | 4.5% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-06 | 80.1x | ₹3503 cr | 4.5% | 11.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-05 | 245.3x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-04 | 225.0x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-03 | 203.5x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-02 | 235.0x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2024-01 | 271.1x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-12 | 211.3x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-11 | 176.1x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-10 | 150.7x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-09 | 159.0x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-08 | 180.0x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-07 | 131.7x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-06 | 97.0x | ₹2243 cr | 1.9% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2023-05 | 87.3x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2023-04 | 88.5x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2023-03 | 66.3x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2023-02 | 69.0x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2023-01 | 88.0x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-12 | 88.6x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-11 | 93.0x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-10 | 76.7x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-09 | 79.2x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-08 | 78.4x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-07 | 67.6x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-06 | 66.5x | ₹1814 cr | 1.6% | 6.0% | 0.5x |
| 2022-05 | 104.8x | ₹1689 cr | 1.1% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2022-04 | 115.6x | ₹1689 cr | 1.1% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2022-03 | 94.8x | ₹1689 cr | 1.1% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2022-02 | 78.4x | ₹1689 cr | 1.1% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2022-01 | 94.8x | ₹1689 cr | 1.1% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
| 2021-12 | 75.7x | ₹1689 cr | 1.1% | 6.0% | 0.7x |
Older months are in the live observatory.