Share price
₹71.5 latest close · −16.3% over the last 90 sessions
₹71.5 month-end · −0.3% over 12 months
₹71.5 month-end · +29.2% over 3 years
₹71.5 month-end · +519.0% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹65.15 to ₹97.49 · 1-year volatility 28.5%
Was the rally earned?
- The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (-0%).
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 33 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 8.7x to 8.4x), which took 4 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Partly.
- Most of the rise came from investors paying a higher multiple (P/E 2.2x to 8.4x); per-share earnings added 40 points.
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-55.8% (2020-01 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-04)
-51.6% (2021-05 peak to 2022-07 low, recovered 2022-10)
-36.2% (2024-05 peak to 2025-01 low, recovered 2026-04)
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 2.1x to 10.6x since 2019-01.
61% below the Non-Energy Minerals median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Non-Energy Minerals peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Non-Energy Minerals peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE95thflat vs a year ago
- Op. margin95thflat vs a year ago
- Revenue growth83rdflat vs a year ago
- EPS growth57th▼ 11 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓67th▼ 6 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓14th▼ 24 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓92nd▲ 4 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum63rdflat vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Non-Energy Minerals sector page Watch it move against Non-Energy Minerals in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 9.1x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 2.9%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% |
| 15x | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% |
| 20x | −0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 2.9%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied −11%/yr; EPS has since grown 8%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied −10%/yr; EPS has since grown 14%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied −8%/yr; EPS has since grown 4%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Non-Energy Minerals The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹71.50
- P/E
- 8.4x
- ROCE
- 28.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹62899 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹32127 cr
- P/S
- 2.0x
- P/B
- 1.8x
- ROE
- 21.9%
- Operating Margin
- 36.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.2x
- Promoter Holding
- 60.8%
- 12M Momentum
- -0.3%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance15%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 15.0%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate26%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion0.73xNear threshold
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.73x (cash from operations ₹14,284 cr, net profit ₹19,537 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow4 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 4. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history+15 daysNear threshold
Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 15 days (105 vs 90). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress115% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 115% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days—Not enough data
Not enough reported data to compute this.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, FIIs added 5.3 pts; DIIs trimmed 3.9 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 7.4 lakh to 11.3 lakh (+53%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like NMDC LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −19% to +26% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+5.2%, 80% range −0.5% to +10.7%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 1 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 31 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATIONALUM Non-Energy Minerals |
Mar 2020 | 3x | 26% | −48% | −49% | +3% |
| ZYDUSLIFE Health Technology |
Dec 2024 | 23x | 22% | +41% | −25% | −11% |
| NATCOPHARM Health Technology |
Sep 2024 | 17x | 30% | +63% | −11% | −39% |
| MGL Utilities |
Oct 2025 | 12x | 23% | −11% | −17% | −13% |
| HEROMOTOCO Consumer Durables |
Jul 2024 | 29x | 29% | +77% | −6% | −16% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: ROCE, 12-month momentum and drawdown from 12-month high. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Jan '20
- OctPriceFell 31% from the Jun 2026 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
- AprPriceRegained the 2024-05 peak, 15 months after the low.
- AprValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (11.5x).
- DecResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹26,690 cr.
- DecPriceVolume reached 5.5x its 50-day median on 2025-12-23; price +3.8% that day.
- MarPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- JanPriceFell 36% from the May 2024 peak to the Jan 2025 low.
- NovValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (10.7x).
Show 22 earlier events
- SepResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- SepPriceVolume reached 5.4x its 50-day median on 2024-09-30; price +4.1% that day.
- FebPriceVolume reached 9.8x its 50-day median on 2024-02-29; price +1.3% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 5.0x its 50-day median on 2023-09-04; price +5.5% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (4.8x).
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- OctPriceRegained the 2021-05 peak, 3 months after the low.
- AugPriceVolume reached 17.4x its 50-day median on 2022-08-05; price +3.1% that day.
- JulPriceFell 52% from the May 2021 peak to the Jul 2022 low.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹25,965 cr.
- JunValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (1.2x).
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- MayPriceVolume reached 5.4x its 50-day median on 2021-05-12; price +3.3% that day.
- AprPriceRegained the 2020-01 peak, 13 months after the low.
- JanValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (3.3x).
- AugPriceVolume reached 10.3x its 50-day median on 2020-08-28; price +12.2% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Non-Energy Minerals on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- MarPriceFell 56% from the Jan 2020 peak to the Mar 2020 low.
- JanPriceVolume reached 11.6x its 50-day median on 2020-01-23; price +0.6% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 8.4x | ₹32127 cr | 21.9% | 28.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-10 | 7.9x | ₹32127 cr | 21.9% | 28.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-09 | 9.0x | ₹32127 cr | 21.9% | 28.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-08 | 10.4x | ₹32071 cr | 21.9% | 28.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-07 | 10.0x | ₹32071 cr | 21.9% | 28.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-06 | 10.0x | ₹32071 cr | 21.9% | 28.0% | 0.2x |
| 2026-05 | 11.2x | ₹27733 cr | 23.2% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-04 | 11.5x | ₹27733 cr | 23.2% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-03 | 9.7x | ₹27733 cr | 23.2% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-02 | 10.2x | ₹26690 cr | 23.6% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-01 | 9.9x | ₹26690 cr | 23.6% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-12 | 10.1x | ₹26690 cr | 23.6% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-11 | 9.6x | ₹25231 cr | 22.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-10 | 9.9x | ₹25231 cr | 22.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-09 | 10.0x | ₹25231 cr | 22.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-08 | 9.0x | ₹23906 cr | 22.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-07 | 9.2x | ₹23906 cr | 22.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-06 | 9.1x | ₹23906 cr | 22.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-05 | 9.4x | ₹23390 cr | 25.2% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-04 | 8.5x | ₹23390 cr | 25.2% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-03 | 9.1x | ₹23390 cr | 25.2% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-02 | 8.5x | ₹22232 cr | 23.6% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2025-01 | 9.0x | ₹22232 cr | 23.6% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-12 | 8.9x | ₹22232 cr | 23.6% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-11 | 10.7x | ₹21327 cr | 22.9% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-10 | 10.3x | ₹21327 cr | 22.9% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-09 | 11.4x | ₹21327 cr | 22.9% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-08 | 11.0x | ₹21308 cr | 21.7% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-07 | 11.9x | ₹21308 cr | 21.7% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-06 | 12.1x | ₹21308 cr | 21.7% | 31.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-05 | 12.8x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-04 | 12.5x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-03 | 9.9x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-02 | 11.1x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2024-01 | 10.5x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-12 | 10.0x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-11 | 8.7x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-10 | 7.4x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-09 | 7.1x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-08 | 5.9x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-07 | 5.4x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-06 | 4.8x | ₹17667 cr | 24.8% | 29.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-05 | 2.9x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-04 | 2.9x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-03 | 3.0x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-02 | 3.0x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-01 | 3.2x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-12 | 3.2x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-11 | 3.1x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-10 | 2.6x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-09 | 1.4x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-08 | 1.4x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-07 | 1.2x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-06 | 1.2x | ₹25965 cr | 52.3% | 50.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-05 | 2.1x | ₹15370 cr | 21.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-04 | 2.7x | ₹15370 cr | 21.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-03 | 2.8x | ₹15370 cr | 21.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-02 | 2.4x | ₹15370 cr | 21.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-01 | 2.4x | ₹15370 cr | 21.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
| 2021-12 | 2.2x | ₹15370 cr | 21.0% | 30.0% | 0.1x |
Older months are in the live observatory.