Share price
₹5,410.5 latest close · +11.5% over the last 90 sessions
₹5,410.5 month-end · −12.4% over 12 months
₹5,410.5 month-end · +49.1% over 3 years
₹5,410.5 month-end · +120.6% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹4671.50 to ₹6388.50 · 1-year volatility 27.5%
Was the rally earned?
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 7 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 24.5x to 19.9x), which took 20 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 81 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 25.8x to 19.9x), which took 32 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes.
- Per-share earnings added 99 points to the rise, while the multiple moved less (P/E 15.7x to 19.9x).
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-52.0% (2019-01 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2020-08)
-42.2% (2024-09 peak to 2025-03 low, recovered 2025-11)
-39.8% (2021-02 peak to 2022-03 low, recovered 2023-11)
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 13.2x to 26.7x since 2019-01.
22% below the Consumer Durables median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Consumer Durables peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Consumer Durables peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE92ndflat vs a year ago
- Op. margin66th▼ 8 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth59th▲ 31 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth40th▼ 29 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓85thflat vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓91st▲ 4 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓66th▼ 9 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum50th▼ 36 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Consumer Durables sector page Watch it move against Consumer Durables in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 28.7x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 15.2%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 16.2% | 17.2% | 18.3% |
| 15x | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% |
| 20x | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.5% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 15.2%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 7%/yr; EPS has since grown 8%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 10%/yr; EPS has since grown 8%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 8%/yr; EPS has since grown 15%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Consumer Durables The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹5410.50
- P/E
- 19.9x
- ROCE
- 35.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹1.08L cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹50809 cr
- P/S
- 2.1x
- P/B
- 5.0x
- ROE
- 25.2%
- Operating Margin
- 13.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.0x
- Promoter Holding
- 34.7%
- 12M Momentum
- -12.4%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance15%Near threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 15.1%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate26%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion1.26xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.26x (cash from operations ₹17,535 cr, net profit ₹13,894 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow5 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 5. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history-11 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 11 days (18 vs 29). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress12% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 12% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days+8 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by +8 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, DIIs trimmed 4.9 pts; FIIs added 4.3 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 3.0 lakh to 8.9 lakh (+195%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like HERO MOTOCORP LIMITED today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −22% to +17% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+2.7%, 80% range −4.6% to +5.4%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months
50 past situations · 50 companies · 31 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESCORTS Producer Manufacturing |
Mar 2022 | 26x | 28% | +31% | −11% | +18% |
| BEL Electronic Technology |
Dec 2021 | 24x | 28% | +75% | −6% | +38% |
| CIPLA Health Technology |
Jun 2024 | 29x | 23% | +46% | −6% | 0% |
| TECHM Technology Services |
May 2021 | 23x | 22% | +98% | −5% | +7% |
| BAJAJ-AUTO Consumer Durables |
Jul 2024 | 34x | 34% | +96% | −3% | −10% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COROMANDEL Process Industries |
May 2023 | 18x | 35% | +2% | −11% | −5% |
| SUPREMEIND Producer Manufacturing |
Oct 2021 | 30x | 42% | +61% | −11% | −10% |
| FINPIPE Producer Manufacturing |
Nov 2021 | 18x | 36% | +68% | −10% | −32% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and P/E. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Aug '19
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Consumer Durables on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunPriceVolume reached 6.6x its 50-day median on 2026-06-29; price -1.7% that day.
- DecResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹42,176 cr.
- DecPriceVolume reached 5.3x its 50-day median on 2025-12-30; price +2.6% that day.
- NovPriceRegained the 2024-09 peak, 8 months after the low.
- SepPriceVolume reached 13.1x its 50-day median on 2025-09-29; price -0.5% that day.
- MarPriceFell 42% from the Sep 2024 peak to the Mar 2025 low.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹37,789 cr.
Show 22 earlier events
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Consumer Durables on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- MayPriceVolume reached 5.5x its 50-day median on 2024-05-09; price +3.3% that day.
- NovPriceRegained the 2021-02 peak, 20 months after the low.
- NovValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (25.8x).
- NovPriceVolume reached 6.2x its 50-day median on 2023-11-30; price +2.0% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- MayValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (22.4x).
- MayValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (17.9x).
- AprPriceVolume reached 5.1x its 50-day median on 2022-04-01; price -2.5% that day.
- MarPriceFell 40% from the Feb 2021 peak to the Mar 2022 low.
- JanValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (17.5x).
- JanPriceVolume reached 5.9x its 50-day median on 2022-01-17; price +5.3% that day.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Consumer Durables on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (18.7x).
- JanValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (16.9x).
- AugPriceRegained the 2019-01 peak, 5 months after the low.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Consumer Durables on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- MarPriceFell 52% from the Jan 2019 peak to the Mar 2020 low.
- FebPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Consumer Durables on EPS growth (from the bottom quartile).
- AugPriceVolume reached 5.7x its 50-day median on 2019-08-27; price +0.9% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 19.9x | ₹50809 cr | 25.2% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-10 | 19.0x | ₹50809 cr | 25.4% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-09 | 19.2x | ₹50809 cr | 25.4% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-08 | 19.0x | ₹47411 cr | 26.7% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-07 | 18.8x | ₹47411 cr | 26.7% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-06 | 16.7x | ₹47411 cr | 26.7% | 35.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-05 | 18.0x | ₹44403 cr | 28.4% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-04 | 18.7x | ₹44403 cr | 28.4% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-03 | 18.6x | ₹44403 cr | 28.4% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-02 | 21.6x | ₹42176 cr | 27.5% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-01 | 21.0x | ₹42176 cr | 27.5% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-12 | 21.8x | ₹42176 cr | 27.5% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-11 | 24.5x | ₹40441 cr | 26.2% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-10 | 22.0x | ₹40441 cr | 26.2% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-09 | 21.7x | ₹40441 cr | 26.2% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-08 | 23.2x | ₹40924 cr | 22.7% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-07 | 19.5x | ₹40924 cr | 22.7% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-06 | 19.4x | ₹40924 cr | 22.7% | 30.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-05 | 20.8x | ₹40571 cr | 23.4% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-04 | 18.4x | ₹40571 cr | 23.4% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-03 | 17.9x | ₹40571 cr | 23.4% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-02 | 17.8x | ₹40099 cr | 23.3% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-01 | 20.5x | ₹40099 cr | 23.3% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-12 | 19.6x | ₹40099 cr | 23.3% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-11 | 22.8x | ₹39149 cr | 23.0% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-10 | 23.8x | ₹39149 cr | 23.0% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-09 | 27.3x | ₹39149 cr | 23.0% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-08 | 28.4x | ₹37789 cr | 21.1% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-07 | 28.6x | ₹37789 cr | 21.1% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-06 | 29.1x | ₹37789 cr | 21.1% | 29.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-05 | 35.5x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-04 | 31.5x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-03 | 32.8x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-02 | 30.7x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-01 | 31.4x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-12 | 28.0x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-11 | 25.8x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-10 | 20.7x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-09 | 20.5x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-08 | 19.5x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-07 | 21.5x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-06 | 19.5x | ₹34158 cr | 16.8% | 23.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-05 | 22.4x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-04 | 20.7x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-03 | 18.9x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-02 | 19.5x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-01 | 22.4x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-12 | 22.2x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-11 | 23.2x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-10 | 21.7x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-09 | 20.6x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-08 | 23.0x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-07 | 22.9x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-06 | 22.0x | ₹29551 cr | 14.7% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-05 | 17.9x | ₹30959 cr | 19.0% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-04 | 16.1x | ₹30959 cr | 19.0% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-03 | 14.7x | ₹30959 cr | 19.0% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-02 | 16.3x | ₹30959 cr | 19.0% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-01 | 17.5x | ₹30959 cr | 19.0% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
| 2021-12 | 15.8x | ₹30959 cr | 19.0% | 24.0% | 0.0x |
Older months are in the live observatory.