Share price
₹3,466.9 latest close · −13.2% over the last 90 sessions
₹3,466.9 month-end · −13.3% over 12 months
₹3,466.9 month-end · −12.2% over 3 years
₹3,466.9 month-end · +152.2% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹3102.30 to ₹4644.00 · 1-year volatility 25.8%
Was the rally earned?
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 11 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 96.0x to 73.9x), which took 24 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 23 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 107.7x to 73.9x), which took 35 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Earnings helped, the multiple did not.
- Per-share earnings added 88 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 277.6x to 73.9x), which took 114 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-41.9% (2024-09 peak to 2026-10 low, not yet recovered)
-39.3% (2021-10 peak to 2022-05 low, recovered 2024-09)
-28.9% (2020-02 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2020-12)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-10-12: 7.6x the 50-day median, price -4.3% that day
2026-10-05: 6.3x the 50-day median, price -6.5% that day
2026-08-26: 5.8x the 50-day median, price -2.1% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 89.9x to 222.0x since 2019-01.
229% above the Retail Trade median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Retail Trade peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Retail Trade peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE65th▼ 10 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin47thflat vs a year ago
- Revenue growth38th▼ 32 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth37th▼ 5 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓77th▼ 13 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓77th▼ 6 pts vs a year ago
- P/E ↓15th▼ 4 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum53rd▼ 39 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Retail Trade sector page Watch it move against Retail Trade in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 93.4x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 34.5%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 36.3% | 37.5% | 38.7% |
| 15x | 33.3% | 34.5% | 35.7% |
| 20x | 29.5% | 30.7% | 31.8% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 34.5%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 41%/yr; EPS has since grown 18%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 39%/yr; EPS has since grown 15%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 51%/yr; EPS has since grown 22%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Retail Trade The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹3466.90
- P/E
- 73.9x
- ROCE
- 17.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹2.26L cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹71256 cr
- P/S
- 3.2x
- P/B
- 9.2x
- ROE
- 12.5%
- Operating Margin
- 8.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.1x
- Promoter Holding
- 74.5%
- 12M Momentum
- -13.3%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance2%Within range
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 1.9%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate27%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 27.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion1.06xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 1.06x (cash from operations ₹8,676 cr, net profit ₹8,213 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history0 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 0 days (1 vs 1). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress6% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 6% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days0 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by 0 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, FIIs added 1.6 pts.
- The number of shareholders fell from 8.2 lakh to 5.4 lakh (-34%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like AVENUE SUPERMARTS LTD DMART today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −23% to +12% vs the market, against −1% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The analogs' median sat below that base rate (gap −4.4%, 80% range −12.9% to −1.1%), but the matches cluster in only 6 distinct 12-month windows.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months
50 past situations · 50 companies · 31 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAVELLS Producer Manufacturing |
Jun 2023 | 75x | 22% | +17% | −8% | −3% |
| SIEMENS Producer Manufacturing |
Nov 2023 | 64x | 16% | +32% | −8% | +60% |
| SUNPHARMA Health Technology |
Jun 2021 | 56x | 13% | +43% | −5% | +23% |
| VOLTAS Producer Manufacturing |
Jun 2021 | 64x | 15% | +87% | −8% | −5% |
| UBL Consumer Non-Durables |
Jun 2020 | 64x | 17% | −23% | −27% | −15% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GODREJCP Consumer Non-Durables |
Aug 2023 | 60x | 17% | +9% | −8% | 0% |
| BERGEPAINT Process Industries |
Dec 2023 | 82x | 24% | +25% | −10% | −37% |
| TATACONSUM Consumer Non-Durables |
Jun 2024 | 93x | 11% | +28% | −13% | −1% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high and revenue growth. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Jan '23
- OctPriceFell 42% from the Sep 2024 peak to the Oct 2026 low.
- OctPriceVolume reached 7.6x its 50-day median on 2026-10-12; price -4.3% that day.
- JulPriceVolume reached 6.3x its 50-day median on 2026-07-28; price -4.5% that day.
- MayValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (92.1x).
- AprPriceVolume reached 7.1x its 50-day median on 2026-04-01; price +7.9% that day.
- JanPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Retail Trade on ROCE (from the top quartile).
- JanPriceVolume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2026-01-12; price +0.8% that day.
- NovValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (96.0x).
Show 22 earlier events
- NovPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Retail Trade on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- AugPeer rankSlipped to the 2nd quartile of Retail Trade on ROCE (from the top quartile).
- JulPriceVolume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2025-07-30; price +7.1% that day.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Retail Trade on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunPriceVolume reached 8.7x its 50-day median on 2025-06-10; price -2.4% that day.
- MayValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (95.7x).
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Retail Trade on operating margin (from the 2nd quartile).
- JanPriceVolume reached 14.8x its 50-day median on 2025-01-03; price +11.5% that day.
- DecPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Retail Trade on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- OctValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (96.5x).
- OctPriceVolume reached 12.0x its 50-day median on 2024-10-14; price -8.5% that day.
- SepPriceRegained the 2021-10 peak, 28 months after the low.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹50,789 cr.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Retail Trade on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunPriceVolume reached 5.6x its 50-day median on 2024-06-18; price +6.3% that day.
- MarPriceVolume reached 5.8x its 50-day median on 2024-03-26; price +4.4% that day.
- OctPriceVolume reached 6.4x its 50-day median on 2023-10-04; price +4.0% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹42,840 cr.
- JunValuationP/E fell below the 10th percentile of its own history to date (106.0x).
- JunPeer rankMoved into the top quartile of Retail Trade on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- JunPriceVolume reached 8.9x its 50-day median on 2023-06-16; price +4.3% that day.
- JanPriceVolume reached 6.5x its 50-day median on 2023-01-16; price -4.8% that day.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 73.9x | ₹71256 cr | 12.5% | 17.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-10 | 68.2x | ₹71256 cr | 12.5% | 17.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-09 | 81.0x | ₹71256 cr | 12.5% | 17.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-08 | 85.5x | ₹68821 cr | 12.1% | 17.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-07 | 85.9x | ₹68821 cr | 12.1% | 17.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-06 | 96.0x | ₹68821 cr | 12.1% | 17.0% | 0.1x |
| 2026-05 | 92.1x | ₹66009 cr | 13.4% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-04 | 104.2x | ₹66009 cr | 13.4% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-03 | 89.9x | ₹66009 cr | 13.4% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-02 | 91.6x | ₹63881 cr | 12.8% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-01 | 87.8x | ₹63881 cr | 12.8% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-12 | 90.1x | ₹63881 cr | 12.8% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-11 | 96.0x | ₹61649 cr | 12.6% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-10 | 99.8x | ₹61649 cr | 12.6% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-09 | 107.6x | ₹61649 cr | 12.6% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-08 | 114.3x | ₹59358 cr | 12.6% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-07 | 102.5x | ₹59358 cr | 12.6% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-06 | 105.1x | ₹59358 cr | 12.6% | 18.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-05 | 95.7x | ₹57213 cr | 14.5% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-04 | 100.5x | ₹57213 cr | 14.5% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-03 | 97.7x | ₹57213 cr | 14.5% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-02 | 82.4x | ₹54812 cr | 14.4% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-01 | 88.7x | ₹54812 cr | 14.4% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-12 | 86.2x | ₹54812 cr | 14.4% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-11 | 91.1x | ₹52992 cr | 14.2% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-10 | 96.5x | ₹52992 cr | 14.2% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-09 | 125.1x | ₹52992 cr | 14.2% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-08 | 126.4x | ₹50789 cr | 13.6% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-07 | 126.7x | ₹50789 cr | 13.6% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-06 | 121.0x | ₹50789 cr | 13.6% | 19.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-05 | 117.3x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-04 | 125.5x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-03 | 123.3x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-02 | 106.8x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-01 | 103.4x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-12 | 111.3x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-11 | 107.7x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-10 | 99.0x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-09 | 100.2x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-08 | 101.4x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-07 | 102.3x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-06 | 106.0x | ₹42840 cr | 14.8% | 20.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-05 | 150.7x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-04 | 152.4x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-03 | 147.6x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-02 | 148.3x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-01 | 152.0x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-12 | 176.6x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-11 | 174.7x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-10 | 187.5x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-09 | 190.4x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-08 | 196.7x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-07 | 184.2x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-06 | 147.8x | ₹30976 cr | 10.9% | 16.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-05 | 234.1x | ₹24143 cr | 9.0% | 13.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-04 | 232.4x | ₹24143 cr | 9.0% | 13.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-03 | 235.9x | ₹24143 cr | 9.0% | 13.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-02 | 255.8x | ₹24143 cr | 9.0% | 13.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-01 | 242.4x | ₹24143 cr | 9.0% | 13.0% | 0.0x |
| 2021-12 | 275.3x | ₹24143 cr | 9.0% | 13.0% | 0.0x |
Older months are in the live observatory.