Share price
₹2,785.9 latest close · −39.5% over the last 90 sessions
₹2,785.9 month-end · −4.6% over 12 months
₹2,785.9 month-end · +9.9% over 3 years
₹2,785.9 month-end · +154.3% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹2666.60 to ₹5277.80 · 1-year volatility 40.8%
Was the rally earned?
- The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (-5%).
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 29 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 67.1x to 55.9x), which took 19 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes, with a catch.
- Per-share earnings added 134 points, but investors now pay less per rupee of profit (P/E 101.1x to 55.9x), which took 75 points back.
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-51.5% (2024-07 peak to 2026-11 low, not yet recovered)
-41.5% (2019-11 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2021-02)
-28.1% (2022-09 peak to 2022-12 low, recovered 2023-07)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-11-06: 21.1x the 50-day median, price -17.3% that day
2026-07-31: 18.2x the 50-day median, price +1.3% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 40.3x to 100.2x since 2019-01.
89% above the Producer Manufacturing median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE46th▲ 4 pts vs a year ago
- Op. margin9th▼ 32 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth27th▼ 21 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth26th▼ 11 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓35th▼ 5 pts vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓94thflat vs a year ago
- P/E ↓19th▼ 8 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum51st▲ 32 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At normalised P/E (five-year average earnings) of 59.9x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 27.4%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 28.9% | 30.1% | 31.3% |
| 15x | 26.3% | 27.4% | 28.6% |
| 20x | 22.9% | 24.0% | 25.1% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 27.4%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 26%/yr; EPS has since grown 12%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 24%/yr; EPS has since grown 23%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 35%/yr; EPS has since grown 28%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹2785.90
- P/E
- 55.9x
- ROCE
- 14.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹33198 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹10840 cr
- P/S
- 3.1x
- P/B
- 6.0x
- ROE
- 10.7%
- Operating Margin
- 3.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.4x
- Promoter Holding
- 62.0%
- 12M Momentum
- -4.6%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance39%Beyond threshold
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 39.3%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate29%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 28.5%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion0.94xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.94x (cash from operations ₹1,869 cr, net profit ₹1,990 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow2 of 5 yrsNear threshold
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 2. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history-5 daysWithin range
Debtor days are below the median of the previous three fiscal years by 5 days (75 vs 80). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress47% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 47% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days+28 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by +28 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, FIIs trimmed 1.1 pts.
- The number of shareholders rose from 35,616 to 91,857 (+158%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like THERMAX LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −23% to +17% vs the market, against −2% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (+4.2%, 80% range −6.5% to +7.8%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 1 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 29 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAJAJELEC Consumer Durables |
Oct 2021 | 45x | 12% | +127% | −28% | +2% |
| UNOMINDA Producer Manufacturing |
Apr 2022 | 120x | 11% | +74% | −27% | +16% |
| SFL Process Industries |
Oct 2022 | 62x | 18% | +12% | −30% | −29% |
| RADICO Consumer Non-Durables |
Sep 2023 | 73x | 12% | +15% | −17% | +17% |
| AMBER Producer Manufacturing |
Jun 2021 | 121x | 9% | +104% | −18% | −23% |
Show the other 3 matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELGIEQUIP Producer Manufacturing |
Mar 2022 | 87x | 13% | +47% | −33% | +65% |
| ASAHIINDIA Consumer Durables |
Mar 2022 | 79x | 11% | +39% | −28% | +11% |
| JSWENERGY Utilities |
Jul 2022 | 23x | 12% | −6% | −40% | +5% |
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, interest cover, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: 12-month momentum, P/S and ROCE. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Jul '23
- NovPriceFell 52% from the Jul 2024 peak to the Nov 2026 low.
- NovPriceVolume reached 21.1x its 50-day median on 2026-11-06; price -17.3% that day.
- SepResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- JulPriceVolume reached 18.2x its 50-day median on 2026-07-31; price +1.3% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹10,695 cr.
- JunDividendDividend payout cut from 25% to 3% of profit.
- MayPriceVolume reached 24.3x its 50-day median on 2026-05-08; price +11.8% that day.
Show 22 earlier events
- MarResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned positive.
- MarPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
- MarPriceVolume reached 6.8x its 50-day median on 2026-03-16; price +1.2% that day.
- DecPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- NovPriceVolume reached 7.7x its 50-day median on 2025-11-12; price -3.4% that day.
- AugPriceVolume reached 57.8x its 50-day median on 2025-08-26; price -0.4% that day.
- JunResultsYear-on-year EPS growth turned negative.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
- JunPriceVolume reached 6.1x its 50-day median on 2025-06-20; price -3.2% that day.
- MarPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- FebPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- DecPeer rankMoved into the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the bottom quartile).
- NovPriceVolume reached 6.0x its 50-day median on 2024-11-25; price -0.9% that day.
- SepPeer rankSlipped to the bottom quartile of Producer Manufacturing on operating margin (from the 3rd quartile).
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹9,323 cr.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 3rd quartile).
- MayPriceVolume reached 28.6x its 50-day median on 2024-05-31; price -0.4% that day.
- MarValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (110.9x).
- MarPriceVolume reached 6.8x its 50-day median on 2024-03-15; price -3.5% that day.
- FebPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on ROCE (from the 2nd quartile).
- NovPriceVolume reached 25.7x its 50-day median on 2023-11-30; price +0.6% that day.
- JulPriceRegained the 2022-09 peak, 7 months after the low.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 55.9x | ₹10840 cr | 10.7% | 14.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-10 | 62.5x | ₹10840 cr | 10.6% | 14.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-09 | 68.1x | ₹10840 cr | 10.6% | 14.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-08 | 64.5x | ₹10695 cr | 13.0% | 14.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-07 | 71.2x | ₹10695 cr | 13.0% | 14.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-06 | 85.3x | ₹10695 cr | 13.0% | 14.0% | 0.4x |
| 2026-05 | 87.0x | ₹10313 cr | 13.8% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-04 | 71.2x | ₹10313 cr | 13.8% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-03 | 57.0x | ₹10313 cr | 13.8% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-02 | 62.6x | ₹10207 cr | 12.0% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2026-01 | 57.8x | ₹10207 cr | 12.0% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-12 | 60.7x | ₹10207 cr | 12.0% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-11 | 51.8x | ₹10349 cr | 13.6% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-10 | 57.1x | ₹10349 cr | 13.6% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-09 | 56.3x | ₹10349 cr | 13.6% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-08 | 60.2x | ₹10375 cr | 12.7% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-07 | 74.0x | ₹10375 cr | 12.7% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-06 | 64.2x | ₹10375 cr | 12.7% | 14.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-05 | 65.2x | ₹10093 cr | 13.7% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-04 | 63.3x | ₹10093 cr | 13.7% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-03 | 70.3x | ₹10093 cr | 13.7% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-02 | 52.2x | ₹9888 cr | 16.5% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2025-01 | 62.1x | ₹9888 cr | 16.5% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-12 | 64.9x | ₹9888 cr | 16.5% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-11 | 77.9x | ₹9574 cr | 15.6% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-10 | 83.6x | ₹9574 cr | 15.6% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-09 | 86.5x | ₹9574 cr | 15.6% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-08 | 80.8x | ₹9323 cr | 14.5% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-07 | 93.7x | ₹9323 cr | 14.5% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-06 | 98.8x | ₹9323 cr | 14.5% | 17.0% | 0.3x |
| 2024-05 | 143.0x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-04 | 123.6x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-03 | 110.9x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-02 | 96.2x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2024-01 | 84.2x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-12 | 81.5x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-11 | 67.1x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-10 | 74.9x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-09 | 82.3x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-08 | 74.3x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-07 | 68.8x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-06 | 60.4x | ₹8090 cr | 11.7% | 15.0% | 0.2x |
| 2023-05 | 89.1x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-04 | 87.2x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-03 | 87.5x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-02 | 82.1x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2023-01 | 73.5x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-12 | 75.1x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-11 | 78.2x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-10 | 82.9x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-09 | 82.8x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-08 | 92.2x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-07 | 78.5x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-06 | 80.0x | ₹6128 cr | 8.9% | 12.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-05 | 115.0x | ₹4791 cr | 6.4% | 10.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-04 | 122.3x | ₹4791 cr | 6.4% | 10.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-03 | 111.8x | ₹4791 cr | 6.4% | 10.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-02 | 104.5x | ₹4791 cr | 6.4% | 10.0% | 0.1x |
| 2022-01 | 120.0x | ₹4791 cr | 6.4% | 10.0% | 0.1x |
| 2021-12 | 103.1x | ₹4791 cr | 6.4% | 10.0% | 0.1x |
Older months are in the live observatory.