Share price
₹3,538.2 latest close · −10.2% over the last 90 sessions
₹3,538.2 month-end · −2.5% over 12 months
₹3,538.2 month-end · +65.2% over 3 years
₹3,538.2 month-end · +152.9% since Jan '19
52-week range ₹3212.80 to ₹4276.20 · 1-year volatility 24.1%
Was the rally earned?
- The share price was roughly flat over 1 year (-3%).
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes.
- Per-share earnings added 54 points to the rise, while the multiple moved less (P/E 19.5x to 21.3x).
- The share count barely moved.
Mostly yes.
- Per-share earnings added 118 points to the rise, while the multiple moved less (P/E 21.2x to 21.3x).
- The share count barely moved.
What do "pts" mean?
"pts" are percentage points of the share price return. The parts add up to the total shown for each period. Because price = P/E × net profit ÷ share count, higher profit pushes the price up, a higher P/E pushes it up, and more shares push it down.
Example: if the price rose 34% and profit growth accounts for +58 pts while a lower P/E accounts for -24 pts, then 58 - 24 = 34. The +58 is not the profit growth rate itself: it is the part of the price move that profit growth explains.
Net profit is trailing twelve months as reported with a 60-day lag.
How rough has the ride been?
Drawdown from peak
Largest drawdowns
-48.1% (2019-01 peak to 2020-03 low, recovered 2020-08)
-33.5% (2021-06 peak to 2022-03 low, recovered 2023-06)
-28.2% (2025-07 peak to 2026-03 low, not yet recovered)
Most recent volume spikes
2026-10-13: 41.6x the 50-day median, price -1.8% that day
2026-10-12: 214x the 50-day median, price +8.7% that day
2026-07-20: 13.3x the 50-day median, price -0.9% that day
Beta is the slope of daily returns against a market-cap-weighted index of the sector's other listed companies, built from today's constituents (so it excludes companies no longer listed).
Is it expensive against its own past and its peers?
Usual range 16.6x to 27.2x since 2019-01.
28% below the Producer Manufacturing median.
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How to read this
Shaded band: 10th to 90th percentile of the company's own P/E history; dotted line: its median; orange line: sector median (companies with a positive multiple, at least 5 in the sector).
Sector figures are built from today's listed companies, so they exclude companies that are no longer listed.
Where does it rank among Producer Manufacturing peers?
Each cell is the company's percentile rank among its Producer Manufacturing peers (non-financial companies) that month.
Darker is better-ranked.
Rows marked ↓ are inverted (lower debt, shorter cash cycle and a lower P/E rank higher).
Where it ranks today
- ROCE99thflat vs a year ago
- Op. margin59th▼ 5 pts vs a year ago
- Revenue growth65th▼ 11 pts vs a year ago
- EPS growth59th▼ 15 pts vs a year ago
- Debt/equity ↓90thflat vs a year ago
- Cash cycle ↓94thflat vs a year ago
- P/E ↓66th▲ 4 pts vs a year ago
- 12M momentum55th▼ 30 pts vs a year ago
Rank history
Percentiles use today's listed companies in the sector and need at least 5 peers with a value; grey cells have too few.
ROE is computed from net profit and book value where the source does not report it.
The Producer Manufacturing sector page Watch it move against Producer Manufacturing in the Observatory
What is the price implying?
At P/E of 21.3x, a holder earning 12%/yr needs earnings to grow about 11.0%/yr for 10 years, then trade at 15x.
Over time
Implied growth by month (solid) and delivered growth (dashed).
Change the assumptions
| Exit P/E / return | 11% | 12% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12x | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% |
| 15x | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% |
| 20x | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% |
Drag a slider to test other assumptions
Implied: 11.0%/yrLooking back
- Jan 2020Price implied 9%/yr; EPS has since grown 13%/yr (7.0 yrs)
- Jan 2021Price implied 12%/yr; EPS has since grown 18%/yr (6.0 yrs)
- Jan 2022Price implied 11%/yr; EPS has since grown 16%/yr (5.0 yrs)
Past comparisons cover only companies listed today (survivorship bias) and say nothing about future outcomes.
“Implied growth” is what the current price would require under our stated assumptions, not what we expect. How this is calculated and the market-wide lists.
What prices imply across Producer Manufacturing The market-wide Expectations lists
Key figures
- Share Priceclose 9 Nov
- ₹3538.20
- P/E
- 21.3x
- ROCE
- 58.0%
- Market Cap
- ₹4299 cr
- Revenue (TTM)
- ₹2111 cr
- P/S
- 2.0x
- P/B
- 8.8x
- ROE
- 41.3%
- Operating Margin
- 13.0%
- Debt / Equity
- 0.0x
- Promoter Holding
- 52.1%
- 12M Momentum
- -2.5%
52-week range
Price risk
Balance sheet & cash
Are profits backed by cash?
Other income reliance5%Within range
Other income as a share of pre-tax profit (trailing twelve months): 4.8%. Bands: below 15%, 15% to 35%, above 35%.
Tax rate26%Within range
Median quarterly effective tax rate over about 2.5 years: 26.0%. Bands: 15% to 35%, 5% to 15% or 35% to 50%, outside 5% to 50%.
Cash conversion0.87xWithin range
Operating cash flow divided by net profit over the last three fiscal years: 0.87x (cash from operations ₹436 cr, net profit ₹500 cr). Bands: 0.8x and above, 0.5x to 0.8x, below 0.5x.
Free cash flow5 of 5 yrsWithin range
Fiscal years with positive free cash flow in the last 5: 5. Bands: at least 80% of years, 40% to 80%, below 40%.
Receivable days vs history+4 daysWithin range
Debtor days are above the median of the previous three fiscal years by 4 days (37 vs 33). Bands: under 15 days, 15 to 45, over 45.
Capital work in progress51% of fixed assetsWithin range
Capital work-in-progress is 51% of fixed assets. Bands: not rising or up to 30%; rising for three years and above 30%; rising and above 60%.
Payable days+6 days / 2 yrsWithin range
Days payable changed by +6 over two years. Bands: rise of up to 30 days; more than 30 days.
Tap a check to see how it is measured
How to read this
Each check is a named rule with fixed thresholds, not a score. Annual statements are the latest restated figures, so a past year may differ from what was originally reported.
Who has been buying and selling?
- Over 3 years, institutional and promoter holdings were broadly unchanged.
- The number of shareholders rose from 28,030 to 41,234 (+47%) between Sep 2023 and Jun 2026.
Holdings, Jun '26
How each group changed
Number of shareholders
Quarterly shareholding as reported, labelled by the quarter it covers (it becomes visible about two months later).
Shareholder counts are only available for recent quarters.
What happened next to similar setups
- We found 50 past situations where a non-financial company looked like SWARAJ ENGINES LTD today on valuation, return on capital, margins, debt, growth, price momentum, size and volatility.
- Over the following 12 months the middle half of them returned −23% to +24% vs the market, against −4% for all non-financial companies in the same months.
- The gap against the base rate (−1.8%, 80% range −11.8% to +3.8%) is within what chance and overlapping periods produce.
Where the 50 outcomes landed
Each dot is one past situation (hover or tap for details) · Solid dots are the closest matches, listed below · Shaded is the middle half of all companies in the same months · 3 beyond the range shown, drawn at the edge
50 past situations · 50 companies · 35 months · 2020–2025
The closest matches
| Company | When | P/E | ROCE | 12M mom. | Drawdown | Next 12 months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CASTROLIND Energy Minerals |
Feb 2023 | 14x | 67% | +6% | −15% | +22% |
| SONATSOFTW Technology Services |
Jan 2020 | 14x | 46% | +5% | −7% | −3% |
| SKFINDIA Producer Manufacturing |
Jun 2023 | 21x | 34% | +37% | −3% | −11% |
| ACCELYA Technology Services |
Aug 2020 | 13x | 86% | +28% | −15% | −23% |
| SUPREMEIND Producer Manufacturing |
Aug 2021 | 28x | 42% | +64% | −4% | −16% |
Show the other 3 matches
How reliable is this?
Matched on P/E, P/S, ROCE, operating margin, debt/equity, revenue growth, 12-month momentum, drawdown from 12-month high, size and volatility. Closest on: drawdown from 12-month high, 12-month momentum and P/E. Not used (unavailable for this company): interest cover. One match per company and at most 7 from any one month.
Independent periods: the matches fall in 6 distinct 12-month windows. Matches from nearby months share the same market conditions, so fewer windows means less evidence.
What else looks like this?
Companies with the most similar financial profile today, regardless of industry.
Similarity is statistical, based on reported metrics; it does not imply similar business quality or future returns.
What changed?
30 events since Mar '22
- OctPriceVolume reached 214.0x its 50-day median on 2026-10-12; price +8.7% that day.
- JulPriceVolume reached 13.3x its 50-day median on 2026-07-20; price -0.9% that day.
- AprPriceVolume reached 38.7x its 50-day median on 2026-04-15; price +3.3% that day.
- MarPriceFell 28% from the Jul 2025 peak to the Mar 2026 low.
- JanPriceVolume reached 13.3x its 50-day median on 2026-01-16; price -0.4% that day.
- OctPriceVolume reached 8.2x its 50-day median on 2025-10-16; price -5.0% that day.
- JulPriceVolume reached 28.9x its 50-day median on 2025-07-15; price +10.2% that day.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
Show 22 earlier events
- AprPriceVolume reached 18.6x its 50-day median on 2025-04-16; price +4.6% that day.
- MarPriceVolume reached 12.5x its 50-day median on 2025-03-19; price +13.9% that day.
- JanValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (27.3x).
- OctPriceVolume reached 16.4x its 50-day median on 2024-10-21; price -4.1% that day.
- SepResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹1,438 cr.
- AugPriceVolume reached 12.6x its 50-day median on 2024-08-26; price +6.4% that day.
- JunValuationP/E crossed above the 90th percentile of its own history to date (24.7x).
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- AprPriceVolume reached 13.2x its 50-day median on 2024-04-18; price -1.0% that day.
- MarPriceVolume reached 27.5x its 50-day median on 2024-03-01; price +8.0% that day.
- DecPriceVolume reached 22.2x its 50-day median on 2023-12-18; price +10.0% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 7.0x its 50-day median on 2023-09-06; price +6.6% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹1,422 cr.
- JunPriceRegained the 2021-06 peak, 15 months after the low.
- JunPeer rankMoved into the 2nd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 3rd quartile).
- AprPriceVolume reached 62.2x its 50-day median on 2023-04-27; price +4.3% that day.
- OctPriceVolume reached 12.8x its 50-day median on 2022-10-20; price -4.4% that day.
- SepPriceVolume reached 187.3x its 50-day median on 2022-09-21; price +7.7% that day.
- JunResultsRevenue (TTM) reached a new high of ₹1,138 cr.
- JunPeer rankSlipped to the 3rd quartile of Producer Manufacturing on EPS growth (from the 2nd quartile).
- AprPriceVolume reached 9.7x its 50-day median on 2022-04-27; price +3.0% that day.
- MarPriceFell 34% from the Jun 2021 peak to the Mar 2022 low.
Events are generated from the data by fixed rules.
The month shown is when the change became visible in the reported figures, assuming a 60-day lag after each quarter end; it is not an announcement date.
Where price and fundamentals disagree, market-wide Rewind the whole market to any month
Monthly history60 months · 2021-12 to 2026-11
| Month | P/E | Revenue (TTM) | ROE | ROCE | Debt / Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11 | 21.3x | ₹2111 cr | 41.3% | 58.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-10 | 20.6x | ₹2111 cr | 41.5% | 58.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-09 | 21.3x | ₹2111 cr | 41.5% | 58.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-08 | 22.1x | ₹2007 cr | 40.3% | 58.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-07 | 22.5x | ₹2007 cr | 40.3% | 58.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-06 | 24.1x | ₹2007 cr | 40.3% | 58.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-05 | 24.2x | ₹1915 cr | 44.6% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-04 | 25.0x | ₹1915 cr | 44.6% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-03 | 20.9x | ₹1915 cr | 44.6% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-02 | 24.0x | ₹1788 cr | 42.2% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2026-01 | 23.1x | ₹1788 cr | 42.2% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-12 | 23.9x | ₹1788 cr | 42.2% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-11 | 25.5x | ₹1748 cr | 41.1% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-10 | 27.4x | ₹1748 cr | 41.1% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-09 | 28.3x | ₹1748 cr | 41.1% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-08 | 28.6x | ₹1682 cr | 39.4% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-07 | 29.9x | ₹1682 cr | 39.4% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-06 | 28.1x | ₹1682 cr | 39.4% | 56.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-05 | 29.8x | ₹1579 cr | 42.1% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-04 | 30.9x | ₹1579 cr | 42.1% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-03 | 29.6x | ₹1579 cr | 42.1% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-02 | 20.9x | ₹1513 cr | 39.9% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2025-01 | 27.3x | ₹1513 cr | 39.9% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-12 | 23.6x | ₹1513 cr | 39.9% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-11 | 26.5x | ₹1438 cr | 38.0% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-10 | 25.0x | ₹1438 cr | 38.0% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-09 | 27.0x | ₹1438 cr | 38.0% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-08 | 29.2x | ₹1419 cr | 37.5% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-07 | 27.0x | ₹1419 cr | 37.5% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-06 | 24.7x | ₹1419 cr | 37.5% | 52.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-05 | 21.8x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-04 | 21.8x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-03 | 20.2x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-02 | 20.8x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2024-01 | 19.6x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-12 | 21.4x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-11 | 19.5x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-10 | 17.8x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-09 | 17.6x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-08 | 17.9x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-07 | 17.3x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-06 | 18.9x | ₹1422 cr | 39.2% | 55.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-05 | 20.0x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-04 | 18.8x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-03 | 16.6x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-02 | 16.5x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2023-01 | 17.9x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-12 | 16.8x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-11 | 17.0x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-10 | 17.2x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-09 | 17.2x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-08 | 17.3x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-07 | 17.2x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-06 | 16.5x | ₹1138 cr | 35.6% | 50.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-05 | 20.3x | ₹987 cr | 33.2% | 48.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-04 | 19.3x | ₹987 cr | 33.2% | 48.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-03 | 16.7x | ₹987 cr | 33.2% | 48.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-02 | 17.2x | ₹987 cr | 33.2% | 48.0% | 0.0x |
| 2022-01 | 18.1x | ₹987 cr | 33.2% | 48.0% | 0.0x |
| 2021-12 | 20.7x | ₹987 cr | 33.2% | 48.0% | 0.0x |
Older months are in the live observatory.